Happy Valley · 2025-01-22 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-01-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. SPIRIT OF PEACE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with HAYDAY second and FORTUNE WHISKEY third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE 1.09.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 2.6 | N |
| 2 | 5 | HAYDAY M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 15.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 7 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR/TT- H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | DECRELOT CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 10 | 143.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 1 | 7.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SANTORINI B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 64.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | SOVEREIGN FUND V/TT2 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 63.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR PC A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 12 | 115.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 33.3% | 3.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 13.7% | 7.28 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.8% | 14.67 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | HAYDAY | 5.9% | 17.01 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 4.4% | 22.85 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 4.0% | 25.05 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | SANTORINI | 3.3% | 30.00 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 3.1% | 32.16 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 2.7% | 37.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 2.5% | 39.93 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | DECRELOT | 0.6% | 181.71 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 26.5
PLACE
5 34
7 13.5
10 13.5
QUINELLA
5,10 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 69.5
5,10 68.5
7,10 21
FORECAST
10,5 331
TIERCE
10,5,7 1,152
TRIO
5,7,10 190
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 899
QUARTET
10,5,7,8 14,859
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,11/5,7,10 7,913
2ND DOUBLE
1/5 198
1/10 155