Happy Valley · 2025-02-19 · 11:20
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-19 was Class 4 over 1200m. TACTICAL COMMAND, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won by HD, with OUR LUCKY GLORY second and MEGA BONUS third. The 2.6 favourite PERFECT GENERAL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND B 1.09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 4.2 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 14.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | MEGA BONUS V2 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 7 | 30.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 5 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | ICONICAL TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR T Marquand · D J Whyte | T Marquand | D J Whyte | 9 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | BITS SUPERSTAR PC C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 12 | 78.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS TT J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 11 | 143.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 6 | 6.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | NOBLE GO XB A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 132.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 3 | SWAGGER BRO M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PERFECT GENERAL | 31.9% | 3.14 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 21.6% | 4.62 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 15.8% | 6.31 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLDEN LUCK | 7.6% | 13.19 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 6.2% | 16.07 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | ICONICAL | 4.9% | 20.38 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | MEGA BONUS | 3.2% | 31.71 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 3.1% | 32.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 2.6% | 38.19 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | NOBLE GO | 1.9% | 52.28 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS | 1.2% | 83.98 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 42.5
PLACE
5 33.5
6 81.5
12 16
QUINELLA
5,12 324.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 326
5,12 85
6,12 217
FORECAST
12,5 536
TIERCE
12,5,6 10,490
TRIO
5,6,12 2,329
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 1,050
QUARTET
12,5,6,2 28,181
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/5 203.5
8/12 500