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Happy Valley · 2025-02-19 · 13:45

Race 7

Class 3 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-19 was Class 3 over 1200m. BEAUTY DESTINY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with KING OF FIGHTERS second and AURIO third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 BEAUTY DESTINY H/P/TT 1.09.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor 3 3.3 1-1/4
2 6 KING OF FIGHTERS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 6 9.0 1-1/4
3 8 AURIO SR/TT H Doyle · D A Hayes 1 6.2 1-3/4
4 7 BEAUTY INFINITY K Teetan · J Size 11 20.0 2
5 3 SPORTS LEGEND B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 8 12.0 3-1/4
6 11 KARATE EXPRESS L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 36.0 4
7 12 THUNDER PRINCE E1/TT A Badel · W Y So 12 56.0 4
8 5 PRAWNS ELEVEN XB/TT M F Poon · M Newnham 2 7.2 4
9 9 GOKO WIN B H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 7.2 4-1/2
10 2 SEASONS WIT B/TT L Ferraris · J Richards 10 59.0 4-1/2
11 10 HAYDAY M Chadwick · P F Yiu 4 6.3 6-3/4
12 4 HONG KONG HALL CP-/TT- K De Melo · D J Hall 9 140.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY DESTINY2. KING OF FIGHTERS+1.25L3. AURIO+1.75L4. BEAUTY INFINITY+2L5. SPORTS LEGEND+3.25L6. KARATE EXPRESS+4L7. THUNDER PRINCE+4L8. PRAWNS ELEVEN+4L9. GOKO WIN+4.5L10. SEASONS WIT+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BEAUTY DESTINY (26.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BEAUTY DESTINY 26.4% 3.78 1
2 5 PRAWNS ELEVEN 13.3% 7.53 8
3 8 AURIO 11.9% 8.41 3
4 10 HAYDAY 11.7% 8.56 11
5 9 GOKO WIN 10.9% 9.17 9
6 3 SPORTS LEGEND 6.2% 16.06 5
7 6 KING OF FIGHTERS 5.8% 17.21 2
8 11 KARATE EXPRESS 3.7% 26.94 6
9 7 BEAUTY INFINITY 3.7% 27.19 4
10 12 THUNDER PRINCE 2.7% 36.39 7
11 2 SEASONS WIT 2.3% 43.69 10
12 4 HONG KONG HALL 1.3% 75.24 12
BEAUTY DESTINY — wonPRAWNS ELEVENAURIOHAYDAYGOKO WINSPORTS LEGENDKING OF FIGHTERSKARATE EXPRESSBEAUTY INFINITYTHUNDER PRINCESEASONS WITHONG KONG HALL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 33

PLACE

1 14

6 30.5

8 23.5

QUINELLA

1,6 188.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 75

1,8 51

6,8 102.5

FORECAST

1,6 316

TIERCE

1,6,8 1,525

TRIO

1,6,8 307

FIRST 4

1,6,7,8 1,126

QUARTET

1,6,8,7 17,025

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,7,8/1,6,8 5,626

6TH DOUBLE

8/1 282

8/6 81

TRIPLE TRIO

5,6,12/5,7,8/1,6,8 60,725

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,6,12/5,7,8/Any Combination 319