Happy Valley · 2025-02-19 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAMERON Closed strongly 1.39.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Marquand · K W Lui | T Marquand | K W Lui | 3 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 2 | 7.7 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly XB K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 8 | 9.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | NEW FOREST Led early B/TT1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 9 | 63.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | STORMI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 98.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK V1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 4 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-19 was Class 3 over 1650m. HAMERON, ridden by T Marquand and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with SUPER UNICORN second and SOLEIL FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SOLEIL FIGHTER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 24.2% | 4.14 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 19.3% | 5.18 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 11.9% | 8.41 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | NEW FOREST | 8.7% | 11.43 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | HAMERON | 7.2% | 13.79 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | AESTHETICISM | 6.0% | 16.77 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER UNICORN | 5.4% | 18.53 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.2% | 19.07 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 4.3% | 23.15 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.0% | 32.79 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | STORMI | 1.3% | 74.34 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 174.5
PLACE
1 16
3 45.5
11 25.5
QUINELLA
3,11 613
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 117
1,11 62.5
3,11 188
FORECAST
3,11 1,545
TIERCE
3,11,1 7,245
TRIO
1,3,11 755
FIRST 4
1,3,10,11 1,544
QUARTET
3,11,1,10 50,421
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/2/3 9,680
1/2/11 1,065
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/1,3,11 201,440
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 1,237
2/11 133
SIX UP
1,5/6,12/7,8/1,6/2,5/3,11 14,644
5/12/8/1/2/3 2,660,314
3 [A S Cruz] —
9 [B Avdulla] —