Happy Valley · 2025-02-19 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-02-19 was Class 3 over 1200m. GUSTOSISIMO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with SPICY GOLD second and SOLID CAR third. The 2.5 favourite SPICY GOLD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GUSTOSISIMO TT 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | SPICY GOLD H/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 1 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SOLID CAR K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 85.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 10 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | YOUNG ARROW CP/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ENDUED CP-/B1/TT H Doyle · J Richards | H Doyle | J Richards | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | ETERNAL FORTUNE TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | AWESOME TREASURE B2/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 128.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | GIANT LEAP B B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 8 | 40.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TURF PHOENIX B K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 226.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YOUNG ARROW | 23.7% | 4.22 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | SPICY GOLD | 23.6% | 4.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 10.9% | 9.19 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 8.2% | 12.24 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | GUSTOSISIMO | 7.1% | 14.08 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | ENDUED | 6.5% | 15.34 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 6.3% | 15.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 5.4% | 18.47 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | GIANT LEAP | 3.4% | 29.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | SOLID CAR | 2.6% | 38.71 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | AWESOME TREASURE | 1.7% | 60.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | TURF PHOENIX | 0.7% | 153.27 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 92
PLACE
2 24
5 13
8 162.5
QUINELLA
2,5 104
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 42
2,8 688
5,8 328
FORECAST
2,5 262
TIERCE
2,5,8 10,894
TRIO
2,5,8 2,325
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 9,359
QUARTET
2,5,8,4 134,872
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 388
1/5 14