Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SHANGHAI STYLE Closed strongly B 1.38.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum 2 28.0 N
2 1 LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · J Richards 13 4.1 N
3 7 VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 9 11.0 1/2
4 13 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly B-/E/PC1/TT A Badel · J Size 1 14.0 1-1/2
5 3 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 3 4.3 1-3/4
6 8 ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H/P R Moore · J Size 8 8.1 3-1/2
7 9 LUCKY BANNER TT J Moreira · C Fownes 7 6.3 4-1/4
8 2 FLOOF TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 6 30.0 6
8 14 YEAH BUDDY Closed strongly CP-/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 12 36.0 6
10 11 SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 11 21.0 6-1/4
11 6 LAKESHORE HERO H Bowman · D J Hall 5 14.0 7
12 5 BRAVE WITNESS Closed strongly P/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 14 37.0 7-1/4
13 10 SILVER KING H/P/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 10 69.0 8-1/4
14 12 CALIFORNIA STAR B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 4 19.0 20-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was Class 4 over 1650m. SHANGHAI STYLE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with LUCKY TOUCH second and VIVA CHALEUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SHANGHAI STYLE—2. LUCKY TOUCH+0.05L3. VIVA CHALEUR+0.5L4. MEEPMEEP+1.5L5. PRECISION GOAL+1.75L6. ESCAPE ROUTE+3.5L7. LUCKY BANNER+4.25L8. FLOOF+6L8. YEAH BUDDY+6L10. SPANGLE FORTUNE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MEEPMEEP (13.3%) finished 4th — the winner SHANGHAI STYLE was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 MEEPMEEP 13.3% 7.51 4
2 3 PRECISION GOAL 13.2% 7.57 5
3 9 LUCKY BANNER 11.6% 8.65 7
4 6 LAKESHORE HERO 10.4% 9.63 11
5 1 LUCKY TOUCH 9.1% 10.96 2
6 14 YEAH BUDDY 7.8% 12.86 8
7 7 VIVA CHALEUR 6.7% 14.97 3
8 11 SPANGLE FORTUNE 6.4% 15.68 10
9 2 FLOOF 5.5% 18.19 8
10 4 SHANGHAI STYLE 4.7% 21.47 1
11 8 ESCAPE ROUTE 4.6% 21.85 6
12 10 SILVER KING 2.4% 41.12 13
13 5 BRAVE WITNESS 2.4% 41.40 12
14 12 CALIFORNIA STAR 2.0% 50.40 14
MEEPMEEPPRECISION GOALLUCKY BANNERLAKESHORE HEROLUCKY TOUCHYEAH BUDDYVIVA CHALEURSPANGLE FORTUNEFLOOFSHANGHAI STYLE — wonESCAPE ROUTESILVER KINGBRAVE WITNESSCALIFORNIA STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 289.5

PLACE

1 15.5

4 81.5

7 33

QUINELLA

1,4 612

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 226.5

1,7 81

4,7 435.5

FORECAST

4,1 1,795

TIERCE

4,1,7 17,229

TRIO

1,4,7 2,187

FIRST 4

1,4,7,13 6,733

QUARTET

4,1,7,13 250,183

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,12/1,4,7 961,520

5TH DOUBLE

12/1 15

12/4 1,058.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,10,12/4,6,12/Any Combination 120,410