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Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 07:40

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was Class 4 over 1650m. SHANGHAI STYLE, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with LUCKY TOUCH second and VIVA CHALEUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.38.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SHANGHAI STYLE Closed strongly B 1.38.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum 2 28.0 N
2 1 LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · J Richards 13 4.1 N
3 7 VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 9 11.0 1/2
4 13 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly B-/E/PC1/TT A Badel · J Size 1 14.0 1-1/2
5 3 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 3 4.3 1-3/4
6 8 ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H/P R Moore · J Size 8 8.1 3-1/2
7 9 LUCKY BANNER TT J Moreira · C Fownes 7 6.3 4-1/4
8 2 FLOOF TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 6 30.0 6
8 14 YEAH BUDDY Closed strongly CP-/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 12 36.0 6
10 11 SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 11 21.0 6-1/4
11 6 LAKESHORE HERO H Bowman · D J Hall 5 14.0 7
12 5 BRAVE WITNESS Closed strongly P/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 14 37.0 7-1/4
13 10 SILVER KING H/P/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 10 69.0 8-1/4
14 12 CALIFORNIA STAR B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 4 19.0 20-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SHANGHAI STYLE2. LUCKY TOUCH+0.05L3. VIVA CHALEUR+0.5L4. MEEPMEEP+1.5L5. PRECISION GOAL+1.75L6. ESCAPE ROUTE+3.5L7. LUCKY BANNER+4.25L8. FLOOF+6L8. YEAH BUDDY+6L10. SPANGLE FORTUNE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MEEPMEEP (13.3%) finished 4th — the winner SHANGHAI STYLE was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 MEEPMEEP 13.3% 7.51 4
2 3 PRECISION GOAL 13.2% 7.57 5
3 9 LUCKY BANNER 11.6% 8.65 7
4 6 LAKESHORE HERO 10.4% 9.63 11
5 1 LUCKY TOUCH 9.1% 10.96 2
6 14 YEAH BUDDY 7.8% 12.86 8
7 7 VIVA CHALEUR 6.7% 14.97 3
8 11 SPANGLE FORTUNE 6.4% 15.68 10
9 2 FLOOF 5.5% 18.19 8
10 4 SHANGHAI STYLE 4.7% 21.47 1
11 8 ESCAPE ROUTE 4.6% 21.85 6
12 10 SILVER KING 2.4% 41.12 13
13 5 BRAVE WITNESS 2.4% 41.40 12
14 12 CALIFORNIA STAR 2.0% 50.40 14
MEEPMEEPPRECISION GOALLUCKY BANNERLAKESHORE HEROLUCKY TOUCHYEAH BUDDYVIVA CHALEURSPANGLE FORTUNEFLOOFSHANGHAI STYLE — wonESCAPE ROUTESILVER KINGBRAVE WITNESSCALIFORNIA STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 289.5

PLACE

1 15.5

4 81.5

7 33

QUINELLA

1,4 612

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 226.5

1,7 81

4,7 435.5

FORECAST

4,1 1,795

TIERCE

4,1,7 17,229

TRIO

1,4,7 2,187

FIRST 4

1,4,7,13 6,733

QUARTET

4,1,7,13 250,183

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,12/1,4,7 961,520

5TH DOUBLE

12/1 15

12/4 1,058.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,10,12/4,6,12/Any Combination 120,410