Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP 1.46.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MY WISH Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 3.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | PACKING HERMOD Led early B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 13 | 7.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 14 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CAP FERRAT C Williams · K W Lui | C Williams | K W Lui | 10 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | DIVANO Closed strongly TT T Marquand · K W Lui | T Marquand | K W Lui | 11 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | MONDIAL SR1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 129.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | SKY TRUST H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | NOISY BOY TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 12 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | MICKLEY B/TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 5 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was 4YO over 1800m. RUBYLOT, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with MY WISH second and JOHANNES BRAHMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite PACKING ANGEL finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PACKING ANGEL | 33.4% | 3.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | SKY TRUST | 13.0% | 7.71 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | STUNNING PEACH | 10.8% | 9.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | MY WISH | 7.0% | 14.22 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | PACKING HERMOD | 5.7% | 17.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | NOISY BOY | 4.9% | 20.46 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | MICKLEY | 4.8% | 20.80 | 14 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 4.0% | 25.22 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | DIVANO | 3.5% | 28.38 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | RUBYLOT | 3.4% | 29.72 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 2.9% | 34.70 | 3 |
| 12 | 13 | STEPS AHEAD | 2.5% | 39.74 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | CAP FERRAT | 2.2% | 45.19 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | MONDIAL | 2.0% | 50.34 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 144.5
PLACE
1 20
3 39.5
5 44.5
QUINELLA
1,3 333
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 113.5
1,5 119
3,5 262
FORECAST
3,1 798
TIERCE
3,1,5 6,522
TRIO
1,3,5 1,316
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,347
QUARTET
3,1,5,11 34,931
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 534.5
4/3 5,584.5