Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was Class 2 over 1400m. YOUNG CHAMPION, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with HEALTHY HAPPY second and DANCING CODE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite LUCY IN THE SKY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B/E 1.20.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY B/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT R Moore · C Fownes | R Moore | C Fownes | 4 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCY IN THE SKY H-/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE Led early B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 9 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | RAMADAN Closed strongly XB1 H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 3 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 10 | 48.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 30.8% | 3.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | DANCING CODE | 16.0% | 6.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 13.5% | 7.41 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 13.4% | 7.48 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE | 5.1% | 19.54 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | RAMADAN | 4.3% | 23.07 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | LOVERO | 3.8% | 26.33 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | OUTGATE | 3.8% | 26.56 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.4% | 29.66 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | FLAMING RABBIT | 3.3% | 30.38 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 2.7% | 36.56 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 33
PLACE
1 75
4 13.5
5 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 613
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 201
1,5 165.5
4,5 33
FORECAST
4,1 924
TIERCE
4,1,5 2,667
TRIO
1,4,5 387
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 1,655
QUARTET
4,1,5,7 39,414
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,4,5 87,630
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 355
3/4 480