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Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 2 1400m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B/E 1.20.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 6 3.3 1-1/4
2 1 HEALTHY HAPPY B/TT E C W Wong · F C Lor 7 34.0 1-1/4
3 5 DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT R Moore · C Fownes 4 4.0 2
4 7 OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 1 15.0 2
5 2 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 11 10.0 2-3/4
6 11 LUCY IN THE SKY H-/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 2 3.2 2-3/4
7 9 LADY'S CHOICE Led early B M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 24.0 3
8 6 TOURBILLON PRINCE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 9 50.0 4-1/4
9 10 LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 66.0 4-1/2
10 3 RAMADAN Closed strongly XB1 H Bowman · M Newnham 3 18.0 5-3/4
11 8 FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB P N Wong · D J Whyte 10 48.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was Class 2 over 1400m. YOUNG CHAMPION, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with HEALTHY HAPPY second and DANCING CODE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite LUCY IN THE SKY finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YOUNG CHAMPION—2. HEALTHY HAPPY+1.25L3. DANCING CODE+2L4. OUTGATE+2L5. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+2.75L6. LUCY IN THE SKY+2.75L7. LADY'S CHOICE+3L8. TOURBILLON PRINCE+4.25L9. LOVERO+4.5L10. RAMADAN+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick YOUNG CHAMPION (30.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 YOUNG CHAMPION 30.8% 3.25 1
2 5 DANCING CODE 16.0% 6.27 3
3 2 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 13.5% 7.41 5
4 11 LUCY IN THE SKY 13.4% 7.48 6
5 9 LADY'S CHOICE 5.1% 19.54 7
6 3 RAMADAN 4.3% 23.07 10
7 10 LOVERO 3.8% 26.33 9
8 7 OUTGATE 3.8% 26.56 4
9 6 TOURBILLON PRINCE 3.4% 29.66 8
10 8 FLAMING RABBIT 3.3% 30.38 11
11 1 HEALTHY HAPPY 2.7% 36.56 2
YOUNG CHAMPION — wonDANCING CODECHIU CHOW SPIRITLUCY IN THE SKYLADY'S CHOICERAMADANLOVEROOUTGATETOURBILLON PRINCEFLAMING RABBITHEALTHY HAPPY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 33

PLACE

1 75

4 13.5

5 16.5

QUINELLA

1,4 613

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 201

1,5 165.5

4,5 33

FORECAST

4,1 924

TIERCE

4,1,5 2,667

TRIO

1,4,5 387

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 1,655

QUARTET

4,1,5,7 39,414

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,5/1,4,5 87,630

7TH DOUBLE

3/1 355

3/4 480