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Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 2000m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly 2.01.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 9 7.0 N
2 7 PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo 3 4.5 N
3 10 SHARPEN BRIGHT B K Teetan · D J Hall 1 6.1 2-3/4
4 8 DEFINITIVE B/TT R Moore · D Eustace 12 10.0 3
5 12 SPANISH FLAME Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So 8 37.0 4-1/4
6 14 MIDORI GIANT Closed strongly B C Williams · M Newnham 7 4.2 4-1/2
7 2 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · M Newnham 11 10.0 4-3/4
8 5 THE BEST PEACH TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 5 18.0 6
9 4 CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly SR-/XB1/TT1 J Moreira · P C Ng 10 30.0 6
10 3 AGENDA CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall 2 52.0 6-1/4
11 6 NAVAL FORCE PC/TT T Marquand · P C Ng 6 9.5 6-3/4
12 13 STELLAR GRANDE CP/XB A Atzeni · D Eustace 4 52.0 7
— 1 ROMANTIC THOR L Ferraris · C S Shum — — —
— 9 FAMILY JEWEL H Bowman · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was Class 3 over 2000m. ENTHRALLED, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by N, with PRAY FOR MIR second and SHARPEN BRIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MIDORI GIANT finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENTHRALLED—2. PRAY FOR MIR+0.05L3. SHARPEN BRIGHT+2.75L4. DEFINITIVE+3L5. SPANISH FLAME+4.25L6. MIDORI GIANT+4.5L7. TALENTS AMBITION+4.75L8. THE BEST PEACH+6L9. CAMBRIDGE+6L10. AGENDA+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SHARPEN BRIGHT (20.5%) finished 3rd — the winner ENTHRALLED was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 SHARPEN BRIGHT 20.5% 4.88 3
2 7 PRAY FOR MIR 19.8% 5.06 2
3 8 DEFINITIVE 16.4% 6.11 4
4 6 NAVAL FORCE 8.2% 12.21 11
5 2 TALENTS AMBITION 7.8% 12.75 7
6 14 MIDORI GIANT 7.4% 13.44 6
7 5 THE BEST PEACH 5.5% 18.32 8
8 11 ENTHRALLED 3.9% 25.73 1
9 13 STELLAR GRANDE 3.1% 32.57 12
10 12 SPANISH FLAME 2.9% 35.03 5
11 4 CAMBRIDGE 2.5% 39.36 9
12 3 AGENDA 2.1% 47.40 10
SHARPEN BRIGHTPRAY FOR MIRDEFINITIVENAVAL FORCETALENTS AMBITIONMIDORI GIANTTHE BEST PEACHENTHRALLED — wonSTELLAR GRANDESPANISH FLAMECAMBRIDGEAGENDA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 70

PLACE

7 18.5

10 19.5

11 25.5

QUINELLA

7,11 205

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 48

7,11 74.5

10,11 77.5

FORECAST

11,7 386

TIERCE

11,7,10 2,151

TRIO

7,10,11 379

FIRST 4

7,8,10,11 701

QUARTET

11,7,10,8 19,016

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

4/7 33.5

4/11 567