Sha Tin · 2025-03-02 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-02 was Class 3 over 2000m. ENTHRALLED, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by N, with PRAY FOR MIR second and SHARPEN BRIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MIDORI GIANT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly 2.01.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 7.0 | N |
| 2 | 7 | PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | DEFINITIVE B/TT R Moore · D Eustace | R Moore | D Eustace | 12 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | SPANISH FLAME Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | MIDORI GIANT Closed strongly B C Williams · M Newnham | C Williams | M Newnham | 7 | 4.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · M Newnham | B Shinn | M Newnham | 11 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | THE BEST PEACH TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 5 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly SR-/XB1/TT1 J Moreira · P C Ng | J Moreira | P C Ng | 10 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | AGENDA CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 52.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | NAVAL FORCE PC/TT T Marquand · P C Ng | T Marquand | P C Ng | 6 | 9.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | STELLAR GRANDE CP/XB A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 52.0 | 7 |
| — | 1 | ROMANTIC THOR L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 9 | FAMILY JEWEL H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | PRAY FOR MIR | 19.8% | 5.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | DEFINITIVE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | NAVAL FORCE | 8.2% | 12.21 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | TALENTS AMBITION | 7.8% | 12.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 14 | MIDORI GIANT | 7.4% | 13.44 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | THE BEST PEACH | 5.5% | 18.32 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | ENTHRALLED | 3.9% | 25.73 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | STELLAR GRANDE | 3.1% | 32.57 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | SPANISH FLAME | 2.9% | 35.03 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | CAMBRIDGE | 2.5% | 39.36 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | AGENDA | 2.1% | 47.40 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 70
PLACE
7 18.5
10 19.5
11 25.5
QUINELLA
7,11 205
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 48
7,11 74.5
10,11 77.5
FORECAST
11,7 386
TIERCE
11,7,10 2,151
TRIO
7,10,11 379
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 701
QUARTET
11,7,10,8 19,016
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/7 33.5
4/11 567