Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 5 over 1200m. GOLDEN DARCI, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with WIND SPEEDER second and RAGNARR third. The 4.6 favourite HOSS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN DARCI B-/XB 1.10.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 12 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | WOODFIRE CHAMP V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 11 | 54.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | HOSS B/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING HEART B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | TALENTS SUPREMO V/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | EVER SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 9.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCKY GENERATIONS H/P/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ISLAND GOLDEN B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP/TT B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 8 | 7.4 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | SWEET DIAMOND XB1/B2/TT- B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 7 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RAGNARR | 20.5% | 4.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | HOSS | 20.5% | 4.89 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 10.3% | 9.68 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 10.0% | 10.00 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 8.8% | 11.38 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 7.4% | 13.43 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | WINNING HEART | 5.6% | 17.96 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLDEN DARCI | 4.8% | 20.98 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | EVER SMART | 4.3% | 23.32 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 3.0% | 33.87 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | SWEET DIAMOND | 2.6% | 38.83 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.3% | 43.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 96.5
PLACE
3 35.5
6 25
12 20.5
QUINELLA
3,12 415.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 162
3,12 112.5
6,12 85.5
FORECAST
3,12 735
TIERCE
3,12,6 5,173
TRIO
3,6,12 859
FIRST 4
3,6,11,12 7,058
QUARTET
3,12,6,11 124,463
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 528
3/12 81.5