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Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 14:55

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 3 over 1200m. KAHOLO ANGEL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with HAPPY FAT CAT second and VICTORY SKY third. The 2.6 favourite KING OF FIGHTERS finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.09.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 KAHOLO ANGEL TT 1.09.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C Fownes 4 7.2 HD
2 5 HAPPY FAT CAT TT A Hamelin · W K Mo 9 20.0 HD
3 11 VICTORY SKY SR K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 4.3 1/2
4 6 NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum 7 15.0 2
5 7 KING OF FIGHTERS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 2 2.6 3-1/4
6 8 FIND MY LOVE B J Orman · D J Whyte 11 31.0 3-1/2
7 3 BEAUTY INFINITY R Kingscote · J Size 3 8.3 3-3/4
8 9 KING MILES TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui 12 27.0 3-3/4
9 12 WRITTEN CASA B/TT K Teetan · J Richards 8 81.0 4
10 10 TAI VICTORY TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 5 70.0 4
11 4 ROMANTIC SON H Bentley · D A Hayes 10 35.0 4-3/4
12 2 VIEW OF THE WORLD TT Z Purton · C H Yip 6 9.9 4-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KAHOLO ANGEL2. HAPPY FAT CAT+0.2L3. VICTORY SKY+0.5L4. NORDIC DRAGON+2L5. KING OF FIGHTERS+3.25L6. FIND MY LOVE+3.5L7. BEAUTY INFINITY+3.75L8. KING MILES+3.75L9. WRITTEN CASA+4L10. TAI VICTORY+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick KING OF FIGHTERS (28.4%) finished 5th — the winner KAHOLO ANGEL was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 KING OF FIGHTERS 28.4% 3.52 5
2 2 VIEW OF THE WORLD 13.3% 7.49 12
3 3 BEAUTY INFINITY 12.9% 7.76 7
4 1 KAHOLO ANGEL 9.1% 10.96 1
5 11 VICTORY SKY 8.2% 12.27 3
6 4 ROMANTIC SON 6.1% 16.37 11
7 5 HAPPY FAT CAT 5.8% 17.13 2
8 6 NORDIC DRAGON 5.2% 19.17 4
9 8 FIND MY LOVE 5.0% 20.17 6
10 12 WRITTEN CASA 2.5% 39.62 9
11 9 KING MILES 2.2% 45.16 8
12 10 TAI VICTORY 1.2% 80.03 10
KING OF FIGHTERSVIEW OF THE WORLDBEAUTY INFINITYKAHOLO ANGEL — wonVICTORY SKYROMANTIC SONHAPPY FAT CATNORDIC DRAGONFIND MY LOVEWRITTEN CASAKING MILESTAI VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 72

PLACE

1 24.5

5 41

11 17.5

QUINELLA

1,5 675

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 205

1,11 63.5

5,11 152.5

FORECAST

1,5 1,181

TIERCE

1,5,11 7,024

TRIO

1,5,11 1,152

FIRST 4

1,5,6,11 2,736

QUARTET

1,5,11,6 82,891

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

1/6/1 1,339

1/6/5 472

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,6/1,5,11 340,991

8TH DOUBLE

6/1 581

6/5 139.5

SIX UP

3,8/8,11/7,11/1,9/4,6/1,5 6,639

3/11/7/1/6/1 1,377,554

8 [A Atzeni]

3 [C Fownes]