Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 4 over 1200m. GIANT LEAP, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with NEBRASKAN second and HAPPY TRIO third. The 2.3 favourite NEBRASKAN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GIANT LEAP B 1.09.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | NEBRASKAN B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY TRIO B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | INNO CENTURY A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | EVERSTAR CP K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 36.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | FLYING WROTE H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KA YING POWER H/SR M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 1 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SWAGGER BRO B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | METAL KING L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 74.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GROOVY FEELING B1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 5 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | REWARDING TWINKLE CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| — | 0 | COLONEL J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| — | 9 | HAPPY SHOOTER TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 4.8 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NEBRASKAN | 25.8% | 3.88 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 12.6% | 7.94 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | GROOVY FEELING | 10.4% | 9.61 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | INNO CENTURY | 9.2% | 10.84 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | KA YING POWER | 8.0% | 12.49 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TRIO | 6.7% | 14.89 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SWAGGER BRO | 6.2% | 16.04 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | GIANT LEAP | 5.1% | 19.52 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | METAL KING | 4.9% | 20.50 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | EVERSTAR | 2.3% | 43.25 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 125
PLACE
3 42
5 54
8 11
QUINELLA
3,8 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 388
3,8 58.5
5,8 106
FORECAST
3,8 492
TIERCE
3,8,5 6,405
TRIO
3,5,8 1,033
FIRST 4
3,5,8,11 3,092
QUARTET
3,8,5,11 75,288
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
10/3 935.5
10/8 27