Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 4 over 1650m. TOP TIME, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SOARING BRONCO second and AMAZING AWARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite VIVA GRACIOUSNESS finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TOP TIME Closed strongly 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 9 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FOREMOST TEDDY V-/B2/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | GOR MO TUEN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 116.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | COURIER MAGIC B/XB B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 2 | 3.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | THE HEIR B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 8 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SMART FIGHTER Led early TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 3.2 | 16 |
| 12 | 10 | SANTORINI B-/V1 A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 92.0 | 19-3/4 |
| — | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | COURIER MAGIC | 22.6% | 4.43 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 14.8% | 6.77 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | THE HEIR | 13.2% | 7.57 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | AMAZING AWARD | 9.3% | 10.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | SOARING BRONCO | 9.1% | 10.98 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | TOP TIME | 8.7% | 11.49 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | RED MAJESTY | 6.7% | 14.95 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.5% | 22.19 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 4.3% | 23.43 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | SMART FIGHTER | 3.2% | 30.86 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SANTORINI | 2.7% | 36.85 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | GOR MO TUEN | 1.0% | 103.93 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 67
PLACE
7 22
8 28
11 34.5
QUINELLA
7,11 402
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 112.5
7,11 123.5
8,11 183.5
FORECAST
7,11 739
TIERCE
7,11,8 5,619
TRIO
7,8,11 1,297
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 5,069
QUARTET
7,11,8,3 80,731
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/7 486.5
11/11 166