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Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 21:11

Race 6

Class 4 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 TOP TIME Closed strongly 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So 3 6.7 3/4
2 11 SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 9 9.5 3/4
3 8 AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 7 14.0 1-1/2
4 3 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 6 29.0 2-1/4
5 2 FOREMOST TEDDY V-/B2/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 4 23.0 2-1/2
6 5 RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 9.6 3
7 9 GOR MO TUEN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung 11 116.0 4
8 12 COURIER MAGIC B/XB B Thompson · K L Man 2 3.7 4-1/2
9 6 THE HEIR B Avdulla · C Fownes 8 11.0 5-3/4
10 4 SMART FIGHTER Led early TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu 12 38.0 7-3/4
11 1 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 10 3.2 16
12 10 SANTORINI B-/V1 A Atzeni · F C Lor 5 92.0 19-3/4
— 0 COMET SPLENDIDO H Bowman · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 4 over 1650m. TOP TIME, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with SOARING BRONCO second and AMAZING AWARD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite VIVA GRACIOUSNESS finished 11th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOP TIME—2. SOARING BRONCO+0.75L3. AMAZING AWARD+1.5L4. HAPPY DAILY+2.25L5. FOREMOST TEDDY+2.5L6. RED MAJESTY+3L7. GOR MO TUEN+4L8. COURIER MAGIC+4.5L9. THE HEIR+5.75L10. SMART FIGHTER+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick COURIER MAGIC (22.6%) finished 8th — the winner TOP TIME was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 COURIER MAGIC 22.6% 4.43 8
2 1 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 14.8% 6.77 11
3 6 THE HEIR 13.2% 7.57 9
4 8 AMAZING AWARD 9.3% 10.81 3
5 11 SOARING BRONCO 9.1% 10.98 2
6 7 TOP TIME 8.7% 11.49 1
7 5 RED MAJESTY 6.7% 14.95 6
8 3 HAPPY DAILY 4.5% 22.19 4
9 2 FOREMOST TEDDY 4.3% 23.43 5
10 4 SMART FIGHTER 3.2% 30.86 10
11 10 SANTORINI 2.7% 36.85 12
12 9 GOR MO TUEN 1.0% 103.93 7
COURIER MAGICVIVA GRACIOUSNESSTHE HEIRAMAZING AWARDSOARING BRONCOTOP TIME — wonRED MAJESTYHAPPY DAILYFOREMOST TEDDYSMART FIGHTERSANTORINIGOR MO TUEN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 67

PLACE

7 22

8 28

11 34.5

QUINELLA

7,11 402

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 112.5

7,11 123.5

8,11 183.5

FORECAST

7,11 739

TIERCE

7,11,8 5,619

TRIO

7,8,11 1,297

FIRST 4

3,7,8,11 5,069

QUARTET

7,11,8,3 80,731

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

11/7 486.5

11/11 166