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Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 19:41

Race 3

Class 3 2200m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 2.14.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H-/TT 2.14.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes 3 5.4 N
2 5 FALLON Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 5 3.5 N
3 8 CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace 6 3.5 3
4 9 SHARPEN BRIGHT B K Teetan · D J Hall 9 4.6 4-1/2
5 7 ALLCASH CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 4 15.0 5
6 2 SENOR TOBA Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip 8 16.0 6-1/4
7 6 MEGA FORCE H1 K C Leung · P C Ng 2 58.0 6-1/2
8 1 MONEY CATCHER B D McDonogh · F C Lor 7 16.0 7-1/4
9 4 AGENDA CP M F Poon · D J Hall 1 49.0 8
10 3 MONDIAL Led early B L Ferraris · D A Hayes 10 36.0 10-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 3 over 2200m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with FALLON second and CHARITY GAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite FALLON finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JUMBO LEGEND—2. FALLON+0.05L3. CHARITY GAIN+3L4. SHARPEN BRIGHT+4.5L5. ALLCASH+5L6. SENOR TOBA+6.25L7. MEGA FORCE+6.5L8. MONEY CATCHER+7.25L9. AGENDA+8L10. MONDIAL+10.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SHARPEN BRIGHT (28.2%) finished 4th — the winner JUMBO LEGEND was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 SHARPEN BRIGHT 28.2% 3.55 4
2 8 CHARITY GAIN 24.4% 4.10 3
3 5 FALLON 21.2% 4.72 2
4 2 SENOR TOBA 7.8% 12.84 6
5 1 MONEY CATCHER 6.2% 16.06 8
6 10 JUMBO LEGEND 5.6% 17.86 1
7 7 ALLCASH 2.7% 36.97 5
8 4 AGENDA 2.0% 50.18 9
9 3 MONDIAL 1.0% 100.90 10
10 6 MEGA FORCE 1.0% 104.88 7
SHARPEN BRIGHTCHARITY GAINFALLONSENOR TOBAMONEY CATCHERJUMBO LEGEND — wonALLCASHAGENDAMONDIALMEGA FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 54.5

PLACE

5 12.5

8 13

10 19

QUINELLA

5,10 90

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 26

5,10 33.5

8,10 31.5

FORECAST

10,5 208

TIERCE

10,5,8 576

TRIO

5,8,10 92

FIRST 4

5,8,9,10 64

QUARTET

10,5,8,9 2,071

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,12/5,8,10 9,725

2ND DOUBLE

3/5 90.5

3/10 723.5