Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 3 over 2200m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with FALLON second and CHARITY GAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite FALLON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H-/TT 2.14.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 3 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 5 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 6 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 9 | 4.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ALLCASH CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 4 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 8 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MEGA FORCE H1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 2 | 58.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER B D McDonogh · F C Lor | D McDonogh | F C Lor | 7 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | AGENDA CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 49.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | MONDIAL Led early B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 36.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 28.2% | 3.55 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN | 24.4% | 4.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | FALLON | 21.2% | 4.72 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | SENOR TOBA | 7.8% | 12.84 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 6.2% | 16.06 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.86 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | ALLCASH | 2.7% | 36.97 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | AGENDA | 2.0% | 50.18 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | MONDIAL | 1.0% | 100.90 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | MEGA FORCE | 1.0% | 104.88 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 54.5
PLACE
5 12.5
8 13
10 19
QUINELLA
5,10 90
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 26
5,10 33.5
8,10 31.5
FORECAST
10,5 208
TIERCE
10,5,8 576
TRIO
5,8,10 92
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 64
QUARTET
10,5,8,9 2,071
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/5,8,10 9,725
2ND DOUBLE
3/5 90.5
3/10 723.5