Happy Valley · 2025-04-02 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-02 was Class 4 over 1000m. CRYSTAL POWERFUL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W K Mo, won by SH, with PLENTIFUL second and COLOURFUL PRINCE third. The 2.3 favourite PLENTIFUL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT 0.56.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 2 | 8.7 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 2.3 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | THUNDER PRINCE E/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 8 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ALL'S WELL H1/TT1 B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 9 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY UNITED P-/B2/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 7 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 6 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | DECRELOT B-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 51.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUNNY GALAXY TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | E UNIVERSE TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 12 | 28.0 | 4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PLENTIFUL | 24.2% | 4.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER | 17.6% | 5.69 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY UNITED | 12.3% | 8.11 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | COUNTRY DANCER | 9.0% | 11.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | THUNDER PRINCE | 8.7% | 11.46 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 8.1% | 12.38 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 5.9% | 16.85 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | SUNNY GALAXY | 5.0% | 20.06 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | E UNIVERSE | 3.6% | 27.44 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.4% | 41.67 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | ALL'S WELL | 2.3% | 42.80 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | DECRELOT | 0.8% | 119.20 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 87.5
PLACE
1 43.5
8 12
11 23
QUINELLA
8,11 101.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 78
1,11 128.5
8,11 36.5
FORECAST
11,8 244
TIERCE
11,8,1 1,905
TRIO
1,8,11 315
FIRST 4
1,5,8,11 1,414
QUARTET
11,8,1,5 26,107
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/3/8 705
10/3/11 5,718
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/1,8,11 33,635
4TH DOUBLE
3/8 117
3/11 1,254