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Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 18:23

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BEAUTY CRESCENT Wire to wire B/TT 1.21.56 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 8.1 1/2
2 13 KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 2 19.0 1/2
3 11 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 5 9.2 3/4
4 6 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · M Newnham 4 7.4 1-1/4
5 8 TOP GUN Closed strongly V K Teetan · F C Lor 7 13.0 1-1/2
6 1 PATCH OF STARS TT Z Purton · K L Man 14 2.5 2
7 10 DEVAS TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So 9 19.0 2-1/2
8 9 WITHALLMYFAITH Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 48.0 3
9 4 ARIEL B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes 6 55.0 3-1/4
10 2 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall 8 13.0 3-1/4
11 5 POPE CODY TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 1 8.9 3-3/4
12 12 ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT K De Melo · D A Hayes 10 53.0 4-1/4
13 3 ANODE B/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum 13 181.0 4-1/4
14 14 FIGHTING MACHINE B/SR E C W Wong · P C Ng 11 42.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 3 over 1400m. BEAUTY CRESCENT, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with KA YING SUPERB second and SPIRIT OF PEACE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.5 favourite PATCH OF STARS finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY CRESCENT—2. KA YING SUPERB+0.5L3. SPIRIT OF PEACE+0.75L4. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+1.25L5. TOP GUN+1.5L6. PATCH OF STARS+2L7. DEVAS TWELVE+2.5L8. WITHALLMYFAITH+3L9. ARIEL+3.25L10. ATULLIBIGEAL+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PATCH OF STARS (30.5%) finished 6th — the winner BEAUTY CRESCENT was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PATCH OF STARS 30.5% 3.28 6
2 5 POPE CODY 17.5% 5.72 11
3 11 SPIRIT OF PEACE 9.7% 10.34 3
4 6 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 7.0% 14.32 4
5 10 DEVAS TWELVE 6.5% 15.50 7
6 7 BEAUTY CRESCENT 5.1% 19.66 1
7 8 TOP GUN 4.5% 22.44 5
8 2 ATULLIBIGEAL 4.4% 22.51 10
9 13 KA YING SUPERB 3.9% 25.88 2
10 4 ARIEL 3.5% 28.66 9
11 14 FIGHTING MACHINE 2.3% 44.10 14
12 12 ORIENTAL SMOKE 2.2% 45.51 12
13 9 WITHALLMYFAITH 1.9% 51.40 8
14 3 ANODE 1.2% 83.53 13
PATCH OF STARSPOPE CODYSPIRIT OF PEACEARMOUR WAR EAGLEDEVAS TWELVEBEAUTY CRESCENT — wonTOP GUNATULLIBIGEALKA YING SUPERBARIELFIGHTING MACHINEORIENTAL SMOKEWITHALLMYFAITHANODE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.