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Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 5 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.85 Z Purton · C W Chang 7 6.8 3/4
2 12 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 5 6.4 3/4
3 14 MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H/PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng 13 11.0 3/4
4 7 APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 9 13.0 3-1/4
5 5 DRACO CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 12 6.1 4
6 13 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip 6 27.0 4
7 1 SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 12.0 4-3/4
8 8 GO GO GO P-/PC2/TT J Orman · W Y So 2 10.0 4-3/4
9 9 SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly M F Poon · J Size 14 15.0 4-3/4
10 2 CERVIN Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So 11 16.0 5-3/4
11 4 HAKKA RADIANCE Led early TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 8 8.4 5-3/4
12 6 LEATHER MASTER CP A Badel · K L Man 4 14.0 7-1/4
13 3 GOLDEN FAIRY H Bentley · W Y So 10 30.0 10
14 11 COLOURFUL BARON B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 43.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 5 over 1600m. PERFECT PEACH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with FAMILY FORTUNE second and MR ALADDIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 6.1 favourite DRACO finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECT PEACH—2. FAMILY FORTUNE+0.75L3. MR ALADDIN+0.75L4. APOLAR FIGHTER+3.25L5. DRACO+4L6. SUPER HONG KONG+4L7. SMART BEAUTY+4.75L8. GO GO GO+4.75L9. SMASHING EXPRESS+4.75L10. CERVIN+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HAKKA RADIANCE (16.8%) finished 11th — the winner PERFECT PEACH was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 HAKKA RADIANCE 16.8% 5.95 11
2 9 SMASHING EXPRESS 10.7% 9.32 9
3 12 FAMILY FORTUNE 9.6% 10.37 2
4 10 PERFECT PEACH 9.4% 10.61 1
5 8 GO GO GO 7.4% 13.59 8
6 7 APOLAR FIGHTER 7.1% 13.99 4
7 6 LEATHER MASTER 6.6% 15.23 12
8 1 SMART BEAUTY 5.9% 16.82 7
9 5 DRACO 5.9% 17.05 5
10 13 SUPER HONG KONG 5.4% 18.40 6
11 3 GOLDEN FAIRY 5.1% 19.67 13
12 11 COLOURFUL BARON 4.2% 23.87 14
13 14 MR ALADDIN 3.9% 25.57 3
14 2 CERVIN 1.9% 52.62 10
HAKKA RADIANCESMASHING EXPRESSFAMILY FORTUNEPERFECT PEACH — wonGO GO GOAPOLAR FIGHTERLEATHER MASTERSMART BEAUTYDRACOSUPER HONG KONGGOLDEN FAIRYCOLOURFUL BARONMR ALADDINCERVIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.