Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 14:35
Race 2
Class 5
1600m
Course A
14 runners
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 5 over 1600m. PERFECT PEACH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with FAMILY FORTUNE second and MR ALADDIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 6.1 favourite DRACO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.85 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 7 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H/PC/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DRACO CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GO GO GO P-/PC2/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 14 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CERVIN Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAKKA RADIANCE Led early TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 8 | 8.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | LEATHER MASTER CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | GOLDEN FAIRY H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 10 | 30.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 43.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick HAKKA RADIANCE (16.8%) finished 11th — the winner PERFECT PEACH was rated #4.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 16.8% | 5.95 | 11 |
| 2 | 9 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 10.7% | 9.32 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 9.6% | 10.37 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | PERFECT PEACH | 9.4% | 10.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | GO GO GO | 7.4% | 13.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 7.1% | 13.99 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | LEATHER MASTER | 6.6% | 15.23 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART BEAUTY | 5.9% | 16.82 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | DRACO | 5.9% | 17.05 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.4% | 18.40 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 5.1% | 19.67 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | COLOURFUL BARON | 4.2% | 23.87 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | MR ALADDIN | 3.9% | 25.57 | 3 |
| 14 | 2 | CERVIN | 1.9% | 52.62 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
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This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m
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