Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 09:50

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 3 over 1200m. BULB GENERAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1-1/2, with AKASHVANI second and RISING FROM ASHES third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 BULB GENERAL CP/TT 1.08.38 Z Purton · J Richards 8 1.8 1-1/2
2 10 AKASHVANI CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 5 4.5 1-1/2
3 5 RISING FROM ASHES B/TT J Orman · C W Chang 11 54.0 3-3/4
4 9 WONDERSTAR B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 10 22.0 4
5 12 TIER FLY M F Poon · K L Man 6 41.0 6-1/2
6 8 LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 7 12.0 6-3/4
7 7 SUPER LEGENDS B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 3 57.0 6-3/4
8 1 INFINITE RESOLVE B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 16.0 7
9 6 JUMBO TREASURE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 1 7.5 8-1/2
10 2 TRIUMPHANT MORE B A Badel · F C Lor 9 94.0 9-1/4
11 3 OTOKOMAE XB-/TT D Probert · C H Yip 12 162.0 10
12 4 YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 18.0 16

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BULB GENERAL2. AKASHVANI+1.5L3. RISING FROM ASHES+3.75L4. WONDERSTAR+4L5. TIER FLY+6.5L6. LO PAN SPIRIT+6.75L7. SUPER LEGENDS+6.75L8. INFINITE RESOLVE+7L9. JUMBO TREASURE+8.5L10. TRIUMPHANT MORE+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BULB GENERAL (36.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 BULB GENERAL 36.1% 2.77 1
2 6 JUMBO TREASURE 21.1% 4.75 9
3 1 INFINITE RESOLVE 10.3% 9.74 8
4 10 AKASHVANI 10.0% 10.05 2
5 4 YOUNG SUPERSTAR 6.5% 15.48 12
6 8 LO PAN SPIRIT 4.7% 21.48 6
7 9 WONDERSTAR 3.4% 29.25 4
8 7 SUPER LEGENDS 1.9% 51.75 7
9 5 RISING FROM ASHES 1.9% 53.41 3
10 3 OTOKOMAE 1.8% 55.28 11
11 2 TRIUMPHANT MORE 1.3% 74.83 10
12 12 TIER FLY 1.1% 88.52 5
BULB GENERAL — wonJUMBO TREASUREINFINITE RESOLVEAKASHVANIYOUNG SUPERSTARLO PAN SPIRITWONDERSTARSUPER LEGENDSRISING FROM ASHESOTOKOMAETRIUMPHANT MORETIER FLY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends recorded for this race.