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Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 08:45

Race 7

Class 4 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 4 over 1200m. GROOVY FEELING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by N, with VICTORY CHAMPION second and NOBLE FANS third. The 4.1 favourite KA YING RESILIENCE finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.09.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 GROOVY FEELING CP/TT 1.09.52 Z Purton · J Richards 12 5.5 N
2 4 VICTORY CHAMPION CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor 8 87.0 N
3 9 NOBLE FANS B/TT M Chadwick · J Size 7 12.0 1
4 7 KA YING RESILIENCE B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 10 4.1 1
5 12 LUCKY STATEMENT B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man 3 43.0 1-1/4
6 1 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 11.0 2
7 14 PATCH OF WATCH B-/TT P N Wong · K L Man 11 15.0 2
8 2 FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 5 12.0 3
9 6 NEWBORN MIRACLE B1/TT- R Kingscote · P F Yiu 4 13.0 3-1/4
10 3 LOVING VIBES L Ferraris · K W Lui 1 11.0 3-3/4
11 10 COLOURFUL WINNER B1 M L Yeung · W Y So 13 5.3 3-3/4
12 8 SEA SAPPHIRE B-/V1/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 14 26.0 6-3/4
13 13 YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 6 24.0 9-1/4
14 5 CONSPIRATOR J Orman · M Newnham 2 155.0 14-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GROOVY FEELING2. VICTORY CHAMPION+0.05L3. NOBLE FANS+1L4. KA YING RESILIENCE+1L5. LUCKY STATEMENT+1.25L6. CALIFORNIA DEEPLY+2L7. PATCH OF WATCH+2L8. FANTASTIC FUN+3L9. NEWBORN MIRACLE+3.25L10. LOVING VIBES+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick KA YING RESILIENCE (21.4%) finished 4th — the winner GROOVY FEELING was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 KA YING RESILIENCE 21.4% 4.68 4
2 11 GROOVY FEELING 17.3% 5.80 1
3 9 NOBLE FANS 11.0% 9.12 3
4 10 COLOURFUL WINNER 9.0% 11.09 11
5 3 LOVING VIBES 8.8% 11.39 10
6 2 FANTASTIC FUN 5.7% 17.54 8
7 6 NEWBORN MIRACLE 5.5% 18.10 9
8 4 VICTORY CHAMPION 4.0% 24.70 2
9 1 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY 3.9% 25.53 6
10 14 PATCH OF WATCH 3.4% 29.50 7
11 8 SEA SAPPHIRE 3.3% 30.06 12
12 13 YODA'S CHOICE 3.3% 30.41 13
13 12 LUCKY STATEMENT 1.7% 58.31 5
14 5 CONSPIRATOR 1.7% 58.68 14
KA YING RESILIENCEGROOVY FEELING — wonNOBLE FANSCOLOURFUL WINNERLOVING VIBESFANTASTIC FUNNEWBORN MIRACLEVICTORY CHAMPIONCALIFORNIA DEEPLYPATCH OF WATCHSEA SAPPHIREYODA'S CHOICELUCKY STATEMENTCONSPIRATOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends recorded for this race.