Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 07:00
Race 4
Class 4
1000m
Course A
14 runners
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 4 over 1000m. SUPER STRONG KID, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with RISING PHOENIX second and PARENTS' LOVE third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER STRONG KID 0.56.09 Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 13 | 1.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | RISING PHOENIX B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | WATCH THIS ONE CP/TT- M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 104.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP2/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 8 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPERB GUY R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 9 | 104.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | RUBY SAILING TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING FUN H-/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY ACTION CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 14 | 171.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CARROLL STREET B/TT2 P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | OWNERS' SUNSHINE TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 52.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | STAR PERFORMER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 114.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | DR GOLDEN GENERAL TT1 J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 4 | 111.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | FLASH STAR H1/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 3 | 143.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick SUPER STRONG KID (51.4%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER STRONG KID | 51.4% | 1.95 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | RISING PHOENIX | 13.9% | 7.21 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | PARENTS' LOVE | 4.9% | 20.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 3.9% | 25.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | CARROLL STREET | 3.8% | 26.41 | 10 |
| 6 | 14 | RUBY SAILING | 3.8% | 26.42 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | FLASH STAR | 3.2% | 31.26 | 14 |
| 8 | 6 | AMAZING FUN | 3.1% | 32.70 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | DR GOLDEN GENERAL | 2.8% | 35.81 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | OWNERS' SUNSHINE | 2.5% | 40.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | WATCH THIS ONE | 2.2% | 45.54 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | STAR PERFORMER | 2.0% | 51.21 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | HAPPY ACTION | 1.4% | 69.07 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPERB GUY | 1.1% | 86.97 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 3
Race 5 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1000m
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