Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 06:05
Race 3
Class 1
1200m
Course A
12 runners
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 1 over 1200m. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/4, with LUCKY SWEYNESSE second and DIVANO third. Victory came as the 1.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1.07.63 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 1.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE V1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | DIVANO TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 6 | 113.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | GORGEOUS WIN TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 73.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD P M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 1 | 48.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY WAVES TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 2 | 81.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 58.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER B/TT H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 8 | 63.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGIC CONTROL CP/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 96.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick KA YING RISING (48.0%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 48.0% | 2.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY WAVES | 13.1% | 7.63 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 10.9% | 9.18 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 6.2% | 16.11 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 6.2% | 16.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 2.8% | 35.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | DIVANO | 2.8% | 36.27 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 2.4% | 41.06 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 2.2% | 44.58 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | MAGIC CONTROL | 2.0% | 51.24 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | GORGEOUS WIN | 1.9% | 53.62 | 4 |
| 12 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 1.5% | 67.33 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 2
Race 4 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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