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Sha Tin · 2025-09-07 · 15:23

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 THE HEIR Closed strongly 1.21.40 C Y Ho · C Fownes 8 4.4 SH
2 13 GALE SAGA Closed strongly B2/TT- K Teetan · P C Ng 6 19.0 SH
3 2 DO YOUR PART XB/TT K De Melo · K W Lui 7 3.3 1-1/4
4 3 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor 14 110.0 1-3/4
5 14 SPANGLE FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 10 63.0 3
6 12 SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size 3 8.7 5
7 10 BULL ATTITUDE B L Hewitson · M Newnham 9 7.3 5-1/4
8 1 CALIFORNIA BAY Led early CP1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 13 10.0 5-3/4
9 5 ONE AND ONLY CP1/XB1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 1 135.0 6-1/4
10 7 CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly CP/TT R Kingscote · W Y So 2 15.0 8-1/2
11 9 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR Y L Chung · C H Yip 11 86.0 9
12 11 LUCKY MAN BO/H L Ferraris · D A Hayes 12 8.6 9-3/4
13 4 SUNSET TRAIL XB/TT Z Purton · D Eustace 5 15.0 18-1/4
14 8 CASA RUBICK B/TT E C W Wong · J Richards 4 240.0 55-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-07 was Class 4 over 1400m. THE HEIR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with GALE SAGA second and DO YOUR PART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite DO YOUR PART finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE HEIR—2. GALE SAGA+0.1L3. DO YOUR PART+1.25L4. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED+1.75L5. SPANGLE FORTUNE+3L6. SIGHT DREAMER+5L7. BULL ATTITUDE+5.25L8. CALIFORNIA BAY+5.75L9. ONE AND ONLY+6.25L10. CARRYON SMILING+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DO YOUR PART (18.6%) finished 3rd — the winner THE HEIR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 DO YOUR PART 18.6% 5.39 3
2 12 SIGHT DREAMER 16.1% 6.20 6
3 6 THE HEIR 12.5% 8.02 1
4 10 BULL ATTITUDE 11.9% 8.41 7
5 1 CALIFORNIA BAY 10.3% 9.75 8
6 4 SUNSET TRAIL 7.3% 13.69 13
7 13 GALE SAGA 4.6% 21.90 2
8 11 LUCKY MAN 4.1% 24.54 12
9 14 SPANGLE FORTUNE 3.6% 27.50 5
10 7 CARRYON SMILING 3.5% 28.18 10
11 9 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 3.2% 31.14 11
12 3 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED 1.8% 54.93 4
13 8 CASA RUBICK 1.3% 75.23 14
14 5 ONE AND ONLY 1.2% 83.28 9
DO YOUR PARTSIGHT DREAMERTHE HEIR — wonBULL ATTITUDECALIFORNIA BAYSUNSET TRAILGALE SAGALUCKY MANSPANGLE FORTUNECARRYON SMILINGYIU CHEUNG VICTORYABSOLUTE AWAKENEDCASA RUBICKONE AND ONLY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.