Happy Valley · 2025-09-10 · 11:10
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-10 was Class 5 over 1200m. DAN ATTACK, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with TALENTS SUPREMO second and RAGNARR third. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DAN ATTACK XB 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO V-/B1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | RAGNARR H-/CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | WOODFIRE CHAMP V K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | LUCKY BLESSING B/TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 1 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS PC/TT J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GLORIOUS EXPERT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER V E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 162.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | EVER SMART TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 7.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER CHARIZZARD PC Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 6 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | NOBLE GO E/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 78.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | RUN YES RUN B2 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DAN ATTACK | 19.6% | 5.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 13.7% | 7.32 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 12.1% | 8.27 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | LUCKY BLESSING | 11.3% | 8.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | RAGNARR | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 8.6% | 11.65 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 6.4% | 15.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 5.9% | 17.04 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | EVER SMART | 4.2% | 23.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | NOBLE GO | 3.1% | 31.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | RUN YES RUN | 2.4% | 40.89 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER | 1.7% | 57.35 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 38
PLACE
4 16
6 25.5
9 39.5
QUINELLA
4,9 257.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 52.5
4,9 85.5
6,9 171.5
FORECAST
4,9 403
TIERCE
4,9,6 2,534
TRIO
4,6,9 527
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 548
QUARTET
4,9,6,7 11,811