Happy Valley · 2025-09-10 · 12:40
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-10 was Class 4 over 1650m. TO INFINITY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won by SH, with MIGHTY STEED second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite MIGHTY STEED finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly CP 1.40.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 6 | 35.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 1.9 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly H- K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | CELESTIAL HARMONY TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | GLORIOUS RYDER Closed strongly XB-/CP1 L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 10 | 169.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD LUCK BABE Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT2 E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 55.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | SOARING BRONCO PC/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 7 | 11.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MIGHTY STEED | 25.3% | 3.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | SETANTA | 11.7% | 8.58 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 11.3% | 8.88 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKE ACTION | 9.8% | 10.16 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | SOARING BRONCO | 9.6% | 10.38 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 4.8% | 21.04 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 4.5% | 22.29 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | PRINCE ALEX | 3.8% | 26.00 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | TO INFINITY | 3.1% | 31.81 | 1 |
| 11 | 7 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 1.1% | 94.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 356.5
PLACE
5 10.1
8 22.5
10 63
QUINELLA
5,10 296
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 28.5
5,10 105
8,10 292.5
FORECAST
10,5 866
TIERCE
10,5,8 6,951
TRIO
5,8,10 658
FIRST 4
5,6,8,10 762
QUARTET
10,5,8,6 34,201
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/5,8,10 31,724
3RD DOUBLE
9/5 33.5
9/10 3,951.5