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Happy Valley · 2025-09-10 · 21:46

Race 6

Class 4 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT 1.40.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 7.1 1-1/4
2 1 QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly CP1/TT H Bowman · P C Ng 7 5.5 1-1/4
3 8 YOUTH POWER Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 12 22.0 1-1/2
4 2 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 6 8.7 2-1/4
5 3 NORTHERN BEAST V B Avdulla · D J Hall 11 30.0 2-1/4
6 6 CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly BO/H/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 9 16.0 2-3/4
7 9 FIREFOOT CP1/TT A Badel · W Y So 3 6.6 2-3/4
8 5 SUPER UNICORN B-/CP1/TT- Z Purton · M Newnham 5 3.2 3-3/4
9 10 WISEMAN B-/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 4 54.0 3-3/4
10 11 SIGHT SUPREME Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size 8 68.0 4-3/4
11 12 HAILTOTHEVICTORS CP2 M F Poon · D Eustace 2 20.0 5
12 4 AMAZING RUN K Teetan · D A Hayes 10 10.0 5-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-10 was Class 4 over 1650m. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with QUANTUM PATCH second and YOUTH POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SUPER UNICORN finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS—2. QUANTUM PATCH+1.25L3. YOUTH POWER+1.5L4. STURDY RUBY+2.25L5. NORTHERN BEAST+2.25L6. CHAIN OF GOLD+2.75L7. FIREFOOT+2.75L8. SUPER UNICORN+3.75L9. WISEMAN+3.75L10. SIGHT SUPREME+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER UNICORN (27.0%) finished 8th — the winner VIVA GRACIOUSNESS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 SUPER UNICORN 27.0% 3.71 8
2 2 STURDY RUBY 11.9% 8.43 4
3 4 AMAZING RUN 11.1% 9.04 12
4 1 QUANTUM PATCH 10.2% 9.81 2
5 7 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 8.3% 12.02 1
6 9 FIREFOOT 7.2% 13.97 7
7 8 YOUTH POWER 5.4% 18.37 3
8 6 CHAIN OF GOLD 5.4% 18.48 6
9 12 HAILTOTHEVICTORS 4.4% 22.63 11
10 3 NORTHERN BEAST 3.5% 28.48 5
11 11 SIGHT SUPREME 3.1% 32.45 10
12 10 WISEMAN 2.6% 38.92 9
SUPER UNICORNSTURDY RUBYAMAZING RUNQUANTUM PATCHVIVA GRACIOUSNESS — wonFIREFOOTYOUTH POWERCHAIN OF GOLDHAILTOTHEVICTORSNORTHERN BEASTSIGHT SUPREMEWISEMAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 71.5

PLACE

1 19.5

7 23

8 65

QUINELLA

1,7 189.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 74.5

1,8 211.5

7,8 233.5

FORECAST

7,1 470

TIERCE

7,1,8 8,968

TRIO

1,7,8 1,638

FIRST 4

1,2,7,8 3,043

QUARTET

7,1,8,2 65,456

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,9/1,7,8 241,717

5TH DOUBLE

9/1 60.5

9/7 659

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,8,10/2,3,9/Any Combination 5,931