Happy Valley · 2025-09-10 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-10 was Class 4 over 1650m. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with QUANTUM PATCH second and YOUTH POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SUPER UNICORN finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT 1.40.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly CP1/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 7 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | YOUTH POWER Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 6 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | NORTHERN BEAST V B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 11 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly BO/H/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FIREFOOT CP1/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER UNICORN B-/CP1/TT- Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 5 | 3.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WISEMAN B-/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SIGHT SUPREME Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS CP2 M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 2 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | AMAZING RUN K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER UNICORN | 27.0% | 3.71 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | STURDY RUBY | 11.9% | 8.43 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | AMAZING RUN | 11.1% | 9.04 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 8.3% | 12.02 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 7.2% | 13.97 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | YOUTH POWER | 5.4% | 18.37 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 5.4% | 18.48 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 4.4% | 22.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | NORTHERN BEAST | 3.5% | 28.48 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | SIGHT SUPREME | 3.1% | 32.45 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | WISEMAN | 2.6% | 38.92 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 71.5
PLACE
1 19.5
7 23
8 65
QUINELLA
1,7 189.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 74.5
1,8 211.5
7,8 233.5
FORECAST
7,1 470
TIERCE
7,1,8 8,968
TRIO
1,7,8 1,638
FIRST 4
1,2,7,8 3,043
QUARTET
7,1,8,2 65,456
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/1,7,8 241,717
5TH DOUBLE
9/1 60.5
9/7 659
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,10/2,3,9/Any Combination 5,931