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Happy Valley · 2025-09-10 · 11:40

Race 2

Class 5 1650m Course A 9 runners

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-10 was Class 5 over 1650m. SUPER SICARIO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with PERFECTO MOMENTS second and WAH MAY WAI WAI third. The winner led throughout. The 3.4 favourite WAH MAY WAI WAI finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.40.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SUPER SICARIO Wire to wire H- 1.40.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes 9 5.6 3/4
2 8 PERFECTO MOMENTS Closed strongly M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 24.0 3/4
3 1 WAH MAY WAI WAI Z Purton · A S Cruz 3 3.4 2-1/4
4 7 COOL BLUE Closed strongly E/P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 8 16.0 2-1/2
5 6 HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly R Kingscote · P F Yiu 4 5.1 2-3/4
6 9 YEABOI Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C W Chang 7 21.0 6-1/4
7 5 GO GO GO PC/TT D Probert · W Y So 6 11.0 7
8 4 FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT J Orman · C S Shum 5 3.8 8-1/4
9 3 EN PERFECTO B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum 2 19.0 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SICARIO2. PERFECTO MOMENTS+0.75L3. WAH MAY WAI WAI+2.25L4. COOL BLUE+2.5L5. HARRY'S HERO+2.75L6. YEABOI+6.25L7. GO GO GO+7L8. FOREMOST TEDDY+8.25L9. EN PERFECTO+11L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WAH MAY WAI WAI (29.8%) finished 3rd — the winner SUPER SICARIO was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 WAH MAY WAI WAI 29.8% 3.36 3
2 2 SUPER SICARIO 17.9% 5.58 1
3 4 FOREMOST TEDDY 17.4% 5.74 8
4 6 HARRY'S HERO 9.9% 10.14 5
5 5 GO GO GO 9.1% 11.04 7
6 7 COOL BLUE 6.5% 15.37 4
7 9 YEABOI 3.8% 26.35 6
8 3 EN PERFECTO 3.5% 28.53 9
9 8 PERFECTO MOMENTS 2.2% 46.12 2
WAH MAY WAI WAISUPER SICARIO — wonFOREMOST TEDDYHARRY'S HEROGO GO GOCOOL BLUEYEABOIEN PERFECTOPERFECTO MOMENTS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 56.5

PLACE

1 15.5

2 19

8 62

QUINELLA

2,8 811.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 40

1,8 138

2,8 186

FORECAST

2,8 1,398

TIERCE

2,8,1 7,666

TRIO

1,2,8 831

FIRST 4

1,2,7,8 2,534

QUARTET

2,8,1,7 88,155

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/2 148.5

4/8 302

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,9/1,2,8 49,604