Happy Valley · 2025-09-10 · 15:00
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-10 was Class 3 over 1200m. STORMING DRAGON, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Richards, won by 2-1/4, with REGAL GEM second and KING OF FIGHTERS third. The 4.9 favourite MONARCH COUNTY finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT 1.09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | REGAL GEM K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | KING OF FIGHTERS B1/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | VICTOR THE RAPID TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | POWER KOEPP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 6 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | MONARCH COUNTY B/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 2 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | KINGDOM OF RICHES CP-/H1/TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 84.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | SOVEREIGN FUND B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 1 | 4.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | GIANT LEAP B R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 10 | 27.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 32.8% | 3.05 | 11 |
| 2 | 12 | MONARCH COUNTY | 17.6% | 5.68 | 9 |
| 3 | 9 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 9.2% | 10.87 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 8.8% | 11.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 8.0% | 12.43 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.36 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | GIANT LEAP | 4.3% | 23.44 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 4.0% | 24.90 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 4.0% | 25.11 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | REGAL GEM | 2.2% | 45.45 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY PLANET | 1.6% | 61.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | KINGDOM OF RICHES | 0.9% | 113.09 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 58
PLACE
5 40.5
6 19.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
5,6 360
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 119.5
5,10 165
6,10 68
FORECAST
6,5 752
TIERCE
6,5,10 5,510
TRIO
5,6,10 825
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 2,163
QUARTET
6,5,10,11 51,778
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
7/2/5 1,189
7/2/6 3,061
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9,11/5,6,10 5,322
7TH DOUBLE
2/5 138.5
2/6 394.5
SIX UP
1,9/5,10/2,9/1,7/2,9/5,6 2,471
1 [C S Shum] —
2 [H Bowman] —