Happy Valley · 2025-10-08 · 18:36
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly 1:48.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 4.9 | N |
| 3 | 3 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 9 | 5.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | LEATHER MASTER C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 5.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 11 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HARRY'S HERO R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN FAIRY L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 7 | 46.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | YEABOI M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 3 | 9.3 | 31 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-08 was Class 5 over 1800m. HAKKA RADIANCE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with STORM RUNNER second and WAH MAY WAI WAI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite STORM RUNNER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STORM RUNNER | 21.9% | 4.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | LEATHER MASTER | 16.8% | 5.95 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | HARRY'S HERO | 12.6% | 7.95 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 10.7% | 9.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 8.1% | 12.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 6.5% | 15.37 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | YEABOI | 5.3% | 18.79 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.2% | 19.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | MR ALADDIN | 4.9% | 20.33 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 4.8% | 21.02 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 3.1% | 31.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 54
PLACE
1 20.5
2 17.5
3 40.5
QUINELLA
1,2 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 49.5
1,3 122
2,3 114
FORECAST
1,2 300
TIERCE
1,2,3 1,678
TRIO
1,2,3 280
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 806
QUARTET
1,2,3,9 16,250