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Happy Valley · 2025-10-08 · 21:15

Race 6

Class 3 1650m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1:38.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly 1:38.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 12.0 —
2 6 KEEN MOLLY K Teetan · D Eustace 7 10.0 1/2
3 8 CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham 4 4.0 1-1/4
4 7 HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly R Kingscote · C S Shum 6 25.0 2-1/4
5 3 STAR CONTACT B Avdulla · D A Hayes 5 6.8 2-1/2
6 5 ANOTHER ZONDA Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 3 4.9 3-1/4
7 1 EMBRACES Closed strongly C L Chau · W K Mo 8 5.3 3-1/2
8 2 CALL ME TOPSEED K C Leung · K L Man 1 41.0 4
9 11 YOUNG BRILLIANT Y L Chung · C H Yip 10 60.0 5
10 4 PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly J Orman · P F Yiu 11 6.4 6
11 9 THE LION KING M F Poon · F C Lor 2 48.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-08 was Class 3 over 1650m. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won, with KEEN MOLLY second and CASA ROCHESTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CASA ROCHESTER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS—2. KEEN MOLLY+0.5L3. CASA ROCHESTER+1.25L4. HARMONY GALAXY+2.25L5. STAR CONTACT+2.5L6. ANOTHER ZONDA+3.25L7. EMBRACES+3.5L8. CALL ME TOPSEED+4L9. YOUNG BRILLIANT+5L10. PRESTIGE GOOD+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STAR CONTACT (25.3%) finished 5th — the winner VIVA GRACIOUSNESS was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 STAR CONTACT 25.3% 3.95 5
2 1 EMBRACES 15.2% 6.59 7
3 5 ANOTHER ZONDA 14.0% 7.15 6
4 6 KEEN MOLLY 10.1% 9.90 2
5 4 PRESTIGE GOOD 9.6% 10.46 10
6 10 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 8.3% 12.07 1
7 8 CASA ROCHESTER 7.6% 13.17 3
8 7 HARMONY GALAXY 5.0% 19.86 4
9 11 YOUNG BRILLIANT 2.0% 49.79 9
10 9 THE LION KING 1.7% 60.13 11
11 2 CALL ME TOPSEED 1.3% 77.21 8
STAR CONTACTEMBRACESANOTHER ZONDAKEEN MOLLYPRESTIGE GOODVIVA GRACIOUSNESS — wonCASA ROCHESTERHARMONY GALAXYYOUNG BRILLIANTTHE LION KINGCALL ME TOPSEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 126

PLACE

6 36.5

8 17

10 33.5

QUINELLA

6,10 695.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 99.5

6,10 212.5

8,10 79

FORECAST

10,6 1,236

TIERCE

10,6,8 7,214

TRIO

6,8,10 994

FIRST 4

6,7,8,10 3,121

QUARTET

10,6,8,7 89,714

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/6 99.5

1/10 394