Happy Valley · 2025-10-08 · 13:17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-08 was Class 3 over 1650m. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won, with KEEN MOLLY second and CASA ROCHESTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CASA ROCHESTER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly 1:38.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | KEEN MOLLY K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 6 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR CONTACT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | ANOTHER ZONDA Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | EMBRACES Closed strongly C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 8 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | CALL ME TOPSEED K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 10 | 60.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD Closed strongly J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | THE LION KING M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 48.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STAR CONTACT | 25.3% | 3.95 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | EMBRACES | 15.2% | 6.59 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 14.0% | 7.15 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | KEEN MOLLY | 10.1% | 9.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 9.6% | 10.46 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | CASA ROCHESTER | 7.6% | 13.17 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | HARMONY GALAXY | 5.0% | 19.86 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 2.0% | 49.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | THE LION KING | 1.7% | 60.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | CALL ME TOPSEED | 1.3% | 77.21 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 126
PLACE
6 36.5
8 17
10 33.5
QUINELLA
6,10 695.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 99.5
6,10 212.5
8,10 79
FORECAST
10,6 1,236
TIERCE
10,6,8 7,214
TRIO
6,8,10 994
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 3,121
QUARTET
10,6,8,7 89,714
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/6 99.5
1/10 394