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Happy Valley · 2025-10-08 · 12:45

Race 5

Class 4 1000m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-08 was Class 4 over 1000m. PARENTS' LOVE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with SUPER SIXTY second and DAY DAY VICTORY third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 0:56.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PARENTS' LOVE 0:56.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 3.5
2 4 SUPER SIXTY H Bowman · C Fownes 9 10.0 1-3/4
3 10 DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · C W Chang 11 13.0 2-3/4
4 5 HARMONY FIRE L Ferraris · D J Whyte 3 9.0 3-1/2
5 3 LEAN MASTER E C W Wong · C H Yip 7 15.0 4-1/4
6 11 HAPPY BOYS L Hewitson · M Newnham 10 18.0 5-1/2
7 8 SERGEANT PEPPER Z Purton · Y S Tsui 1 5.9 5-1/2
8 2 LUCKY TWENTY J Orman · K H Ting 12 12.0 6-3/4
9 6 AMAZING KID A Atzeni · J Size 5 24.0 7
10 12 GOOD PROSPECT K Teetan · B Crawford 4 7.9 8-1/4
11 9 SUNNY SING SPIRIT D Probert · W Y So 6 93.0 8-1/2
12 7 HAPPY UNITED B Avdulla · J Richards 8 10.0 13-3/4
6 PLENTIFUL A Atzeni · P C Ng

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PARENTS' LOVE2. SUPER SIXTY+1.75L3. DAY DAY VICTORY+2.75L4. HARMONY FIRE+3.5L5. LEAN MASTER+4.25L6. HAPPY BOYS+5.5L7. SERGEANT PEPPER+5.5L8. LUCKY TWENTY+6.75L9. AMAZING KID+7L10. GOOD PROSPECT+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY TWENTY (15.1%) finished 8th — the winner PARENTS' LOVE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 LUCKY TWENTY 15.1% 6.62 8
2 1 PARENTS' LOVE 13.0% 7.70 1
3 8 SERGEANT PEPPER 10.1% 9.89 7
4 4 SUPER SIXTY 9.7% 10.26 2
5 5 HARMONY FIRE 9.4% 10.60 4
6 3 LEAN MASTER 8.4% 11.92 5
7 10 DAY DAY VICTORY 7.9% 12.63 3
8 12 GOOD PROSPECT 7.5% 13.39 10
9 11 HAPPY BOYS 6.3% 15.87 6
10 6 AMAZING KID 5.1% 19.50 9
11 7 HAPPY UNITED 5.0% 20.00 12
12 9 SUNNY SING SPIRIT 2.4% 41.41 11
LUCKY TWENTYPARENTS' LOVE — wonSERGEANT PEPPERSUPER SIXTYHARMONY FIRELEAN MASTERDAY DAY VICTORYGOOD PROSPECTHAPPY BOYSAMAZING KIDHAPPY UNITEDSUNNY SING SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 35.5

PLACE

1 15

4 29

10 39

QUINELLA

1,4 207.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 68

1,10 98

4,10 194

FORECAST

1,4 268

TIERCE

1,4,10 2,725

TRIO

1,4,10 640

FIRST 4

1,4,5,10 748

QUARTET

1,4,10,5 13,543

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

5/4/1 282

5/4/4 111

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,8,11/1,4,10 19,416

4TH DOUBLE

4/1 142.5

4/4 46