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Happy Valley · 2025-10-08 · 19:05

Race 2

Class 4 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:39.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 STURDY RUBY Closed strongly 1:39.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man 2 6.3 —
2 5 AMAZING GAZE Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes 5 6.2 1-1/4
3 1 QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly H Bowman · P C Ng 7 2.8 1-3/4
4 8 OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So 10 65.0 2-3/4
5 11 SMILING EMPEROR H Bentley · K H Ting 3 13.0 3-1/4
6 4 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 12 37.0 3-1/4
7 7 JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly J Orman · C S Shum 8 52.0 3-3/4
8 10 STORMI C L Chau · W K Mo 9 8.4 3-3/4
9 9 SUPER PACE Led early D Probert · C Fownes 4 87.0 4
10 6 SETANTA L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 8.6 4-3/4
11 12 ATOMIC BEAUTY A Atzeni · A S Cruz 1 8.4 5-1/2
12 3 AMAZING AWARD K Teetan · D Eustace 11 23.0 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-08 was Class 4 over 1650m. STURDY RUBY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won, with AMAZING GAZE second and QUANTUM PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite QUANTUM PATCH finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STURDY RUBY—2. AMAZING GAZE+1.25L3. QUANTUM PATCH+1.75L4. OUR LUCKY GLORY+2.75L5. SMILING EMPEROR+3.25L6. TAKE ACTION+3.25L7. JOYFUL PROSPERITY+3.75L8. STORMI+3.75L9. SUPER PACE+4L10. SETANTA+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STURDY RUBY (19.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 STURDY RUBY 19.9% 5.04 1
2 12 ATOMIC BEAUTY 19.6% 5.09 11
3 1 QUANTUM PATCH 12.8% 7.79 3
4 5 AMAZING GAZE 9.8% 10.22 2
5 6 SETANTA 8.9% 11.20 10
6 10 STORMI 6.5% 15.48 8
7 11 SMILING EMPEROR 5.9% 16.90 5
8 3 AMAZING AWARD 5.9% 17.03 12
9 8 OUR LUCKY GLORY 3.8% 26.19 4
10 4 TAKE ACTION 3.3% 30.18 6
11 7 JOYFUL PROSPERITY 2.4% 41.24 7
12 9 SUPER PACE 1.2% 86.06 9
STURDY RUBY — wonATOMIC BEAUTYQUANTUM PATCHAMAZING GAZESETANTASTORMISMILING EMPERORAMAZING AWARDOUR LUCKY GLORYTAKE ACTIONJOYFUL PROSPERITYSUPER PACE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 63.5

PLACE

1 14

2 17.5

5 25.5

QUINELLA

2,5 234.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 25.5

1,5 54.5

2,5 72.5

FORECAST

2,5 552

TIERCE

2,5,1 1,451

TRIO

1,2,5 140

FIRST 4

1,2,5,8 1,582

QUARTET

2,5,1,8 34,274

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/2 405.5

1/5 110.5