Happy Valley · 2025-10-08 · 11:05
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-08 was Class 4 over 1650m. STURDY RUBY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won, with AMAZING GAZE second and QUANTUM PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite QUANTUM PATCH finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly 1:39.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 6.3 | — |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING GAZE Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 7 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 65.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 12 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 8 | 52.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | STORMI C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER PACE Led early D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 4 | 87.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | SETANTA L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STURDY RUBY | 19.9% | 5.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 19.6% | 5.09 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH | 12.8% | 7.79 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | AMAZING GAZE | 9.8% | 10.22 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | SETANTA | 8.9% | 11.20 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | STORMI | 6.5% | 15.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR | 5.9% | 16.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD | 5.9% | 17.03 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 3.8% | 26.19 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | TAKE ACTION | 3.3% | 30.18 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 2.4% | 41.24 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER PACE | 1.2% | 86.06 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 63.5
PLACE
1 14
2 17.5
5 25.5
QUINELLA
2,5 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 25.5
1,5 54.5
2,5 72.5
FORECAST
2,5 552
TIERCE
2,5,1 1,451
TRIO
1,2,5 140
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,582
QUARTET
2,5,1,8 34,274
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 405.5
1/5 110.5