Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 05:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 5 over 1200m. HE WAS YOU, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with SONIC BOOM second and NOBLE DELUXE third. The 2.4 favourite NOBLE DELUXE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HE WAS YOU 1:08.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | SONIC BOOM M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | NOBLE DELUXE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 2.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 12 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | SKY SONG E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 5.8 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | SOMETHING JONAH J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 9 | 92.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 2 | 46.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER ELITE B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 11 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | SHINE BRIGHT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | WISDOM STAR K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 66.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FORTUNE RACER M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 72.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FUNG H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 70.0 | 19-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NOBLE DELUXE | 24.4% | 4.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | SHINE BRIGHT | 17.7% | 5.66 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 15.4% | 6.48 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | SONIC BOOM | 10.6% | 9.44 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SKY SONG | 10.3% | 9.68 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | HE WAS YOU | 8.2% | 12.24 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.2% | 31.53 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER ELITE | 3.0% | 33.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | FORTUNE RACER | 2.2% | 44.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | FUNG | 1.7% | 58.78 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | WISDOM STAR | 1.7% | 58.91 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | SOMETHING JONAH | 1.7% | 59.37 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 48
PLACE
3 18
7 12
12 22
QUINELLA
3,12 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 28.5
3,12 59.5
7,12 33.5
FORECAST
3,12 384
TIERCE
3,12,7 1,065
TRIO
3,7,12 144
FIRST 4
3,5,7,12 323
QUARTET
3,12,7,5 8,851