Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 07:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. OLDTOWN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won, with JUBILANT STAR second and BUNTA BABY third. The 2.7 favourite GOOD FORTUNE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | OLDTOWN 1:09.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.4 | — |
| 2 | 4 | JUBILANT STAR H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | BUNTA BABY P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 10 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | VOYAGE BOSS K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 34.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | INVICTUS DRAGON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 73.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD FORTUNE C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | VON BAER E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | GIDDY UP A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 5 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | WAVE GARDEN L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 52.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CLUB ACE D Probert · J Size | D Probert | J Size | 11 | 48.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY MCQUEEN M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 6.6 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | OLDTOWN | 15.9% | 6.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ELEGANT LIFE | 12.4% | 8.03 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | JUBILANT STAR | 12.2% | 8.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | VON BAER | 11.6% | 8.60 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | GIDDY UP | 10.8% | 9.24 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD FORTUNE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | BUNTA BABY | 7.0% | 14.32 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | CLUB ACE | 6.3% | 15.98 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | VOYAGE BOSS | 5.2% | 19.40 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 4.5% | 22.02 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | INVICTUS DRAGON | 2.7% | 36.50 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | WAVE GARDEN | 1.9% | 51.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 34
PLACE
4 34
6 14.5
8 45.5
QUINELLA
4,6 249
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 81.5
4,8 287.5
6,8 96.5
FORECAST
6,4 383
TIERCE
6,4,8 4,314
TRIO
4,6,8 1,174
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 4,557
QUARTET
6,4,8,1 59,141
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/2/4 420
3/2/6 1,177
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 63
2/6 171.5