Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 3 over 1200m. MATTERS MOST, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won, with SUPER STRONG KID second and ALSONSO third. The 1.9 favourite SUPER STRONG KID finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MATTERS MOST 1:08.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 10 | 66.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER STRONG KID Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 1.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | FLYING KNIGHT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 3 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | POWER KOEPP H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 4 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 2 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | YEE CHEONG GLORY A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 2.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BIGTIME GENERATION M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 57.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | NOVA KNIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 66.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND D Probert · M Newnham | D Probert | M Newnham | 6 | 85.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER STRONG KID | 48.9% | 2.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | YEE CHEONG GLORY | 17.9% | 5.58 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | ALSONSO | 9.9% | 10.12 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 4.0% | 25.03 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | MATTERS MOST | 3.6% | 28.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.0% | 32.94 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | DEVAS TWELVE | 2.9% | 33.96 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | NOVA KNIGHT | 2.9% | 34.09 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.8% | 35.35 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | BIGTIME GENERATION | 2.2% | 44.68 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | FLYING KNIGHT | 1.8% | 56.01 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 660.5
PLACE
3 11
7 24
9 81.5
QUINELLA
3,9 381
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 34
3,9 118.5
7,9 423
FORECAST
9,3 1,745
TIERCE
9,3,7 10,067
TRIO
3,7,9 777
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 1,938
QUARTET
9,3,7,4 83,223
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
11/3 34
11/9 3,711.5