Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 09:15
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 2 over 1200m. TOMODACHI KOKOROE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won, with LADY'S CHOICE second and BABY CRYSTAL third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE 1:08.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | BABY CRYSTAL K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 55.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | AERIS NOVA M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | WONDER KIT P N Wong · K W Lui | P N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 53.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SKY TRUST D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | DANCING CODE E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BRAVE STAR A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 2 | 91.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MID WINTER WIND L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 18.5% | 5.40 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | DANCING CODE | 15.6% | 6.42 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE | 10.4% | 9.62 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 9.4% | 10.66 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN | 9.2% | 10.91 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 8.1% | 12.34 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | SKY TRUST | 7.1% | 14.10 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | AERIS NOVA | 5.3% | 18.90 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | MID WINTER WIND | 4.6% | 21.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | WONDER KIT | 4.2% | 24.08 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | BRAVE STAR | 4.1% | 24.55 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | BABY CRYSTAL | 3.7% | 27.17 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 29.5
PLACE
1 25.5
2 13.5
6 119
QUINELLA
1,2 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 60.5
1,6 715
2,6 673.5
FORECAST
2,1 373
TIERCE
2,1,6 16,532
TRIO
1,2,6 4,022
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 12,593
QUARTET
2,1,6,11 214,361
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
6/1 22
6/2 124