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Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 07:40

Race 6

Class 4 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 4 over 1600m. BULL ATTITUDE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won, with HAPPY UNIVERSE second and PEARL OF PANG'S third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite PEARL OF PANG'S finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1:34.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly 1:34.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham 2 7.1
2 8 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly R Kingscote · K H Ting 13 11.0 1/2
3 6 PEARL OF PANG'S Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man 6 3.7 3-1/2
4 14 BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly A Badel · B Crawford 11 10.0 3-3/4
5 1 GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace 8 4.8 4-1/2
6 4 GOOD GOOD B Avdulla · J Size 5 15.0 4-1/2
7 2 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly C L Chau · P F Yiu 9 24.0 5
8 10 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly P N Wong · D J Hall 7 4.8 5-1/2
9 12 TURF PHOENIX Led early H T Mo · W Y So 3 129.0 6
10 13 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly Y L Chung · J Richards 10 96.0 6-3/4
11 7 SPLENDID FORCE Closed strongly M L Yeung · D J Whyte 1 66.0 7
12 5 MEGA FORCE D Probert · P C Ng 4 122.0 10-1/2
13 3 MATSU VICTOR C Y Ho · K W Lui 14 30.0 12-1/4
14 9 DASHING DRAGON E C W Wong · D A Hayes 12 53.0 15-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BULL ATTITUDE2. HAPPY UNIVERSE+0.5L3. PEARL OF PANG'S+3.5L4. BEAUTY MISSILE+3.75L5. GLORIOUS SUCCESS+4.5L6. GOOD GOOD+4.5L7. PRESTIGE RICKY+5L8. FIGHT TIME+5.5L9. TURF PHOENIX+6L10. ROMANTIC FANTASY+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FIGHT TIME (22.7%) finished 8th — the winner BULL ATTITUDE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 FIGHT TIME 22.7% 4.41 8
2 1 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 15.2% 6.57 5
3 6 PEARL OF PANG'S 15.0% 6.66 3
4 4 GOOD GOOD 9.5% 10.57 6
5 14 BEAUTY MISSILE 6.5% 15.30 4
6 11 BULL ATTITUDE 5.9% 16.92 1
7 8 HAPPY UNIVERSE 5.6% 17.79 2
8 2 PRESTIGE RICKY 4.1% 24.54 7
9 13 ROMANTIC FANTASY 3.7% 26.90 10
10 9 DASHING DRAGON 2.7% 36.51 14
11 3 MATSU VICTOR 2.6% 37.88 13
12 12 TURF PHOENIX 2.4% 41.27 9
13 7 SPLENDID FORCE 2.4% 41.29 11
14 5 MEGA FORCE 1.6% 64.38 12
FIGHT TIMEGLORIOUS SUCCESSPEARL OF PANG'SGOOD GOODBEAUTY MISSILEBULL ATTITUDE — wonHAPPY UNIVERSEPRESTIGE RICKYROMANTIC FANTASYDASHING DRAGONMATSU VICTORTURF PHOENIXSPLENDID FORCEMEGA FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 71

PLACE

6 14.5

8 35.5

11 24

QUINELLA

8,11 484.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 76.5

6,11 62

8,11 143

FORECAST

11,8 1,049

TIERCE

11,8,6 4,314

TRIO

6,8,11 634

FIRST 4

6,8,11,14 1,599

QUARTET

11,8,6,14 40,852

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,8/6,8,11 72,079

5TH DOUBLE

6/8 106.5

6/11 634.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,6,10/4,6,8/6,8,11 1,427,849

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,6,10/4,6,8/Any Combination 28,556