Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. DAILY TROPHY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C Fownes, won, with HAPPY ACTION second and WISEMAN third. The 2.7 favourite NOTTHESILLYONE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DAILY TROPHY 1:09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 10 | 9.2 | — |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY ACTION M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 62.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | WISEMAN H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 93.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | NOTTHESILLYONE A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 2.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA STAR Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | HINOKAMI KAGURA M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BITS SUPERSTAR P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 7 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MEEPMEEP B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SPICY SPANGLE K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 56.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | GIMME FIVE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 8.1 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | RAINBOW WARRIOR L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 63.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 5 | 3.7 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 30.3% | 3.30 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | MEEPMEEP | 15.3% | 6.53 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | GIMME FIVE | 10.8% | 9.27 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 10.0% | 9.97 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | DAILY TROPHY | 7.7% | 12.93 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 6.5% | 15.41 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 5.1% | 19.78 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | RAINBOW WARRIOR | 3.9% | 25.50 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 3.8% | 26.01 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | SPICY SPANGLE | 3.1% | 31.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | WISEMAN | 1.9% | 52.07 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY ACTION | 1.4% | 69.41 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 92
PLACE
3 24.5
8 120
11 173.5
QUINELLA
3,8 2,347
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 603
3,11 667
8,11 2,282
FORECAST
3,8 3,423
TIERCE
3,8,11 82,849
TRIO
3,8,11 17,457
FIRST 4
3,8,11,12 10,272
QUARTET
3,8,11,12 610,866
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3,11/3 102.5
3,11/8 127