Sha Tin · 2025-10-12 · 00:56
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-10-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. JUBILANT WINNER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Richards, won, with INCREDIBLE MOMENT second and ALL'S WELL third. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JUBILANT WINNER 1:08.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| 2 | 6 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 7.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | ALL'S WELL M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 5 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 9 | 88.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SPEEDY TRIDENT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 181.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SNOWTHORN D Probert · P F Yiu | D Probert | P F Yiu | 6 | 49.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | BOWSER Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CALL TO COMMAND J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 8 | 267.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | WIN METHOD H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 95.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY ALLIANCE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 86.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 11 | SAVVY TWINKLE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JUBILANT WINNER | 34.7% | 2.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ALL'S WELL | 31.5% | 3.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 10.3% | 9.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 7.9% | 12.59 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | BOWSER | 4.4% | 22.52 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY ALLIANCE | 3.1% | 32.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.4% | 41.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | SNOWTHORN | 1.8% | 54.64 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS | 1.4% | 72.32 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | CALL TO COMMAND | 1.2% | 80.86 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | WIN METHOD | 1.1% | 90.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 12.5
PLACE
2 18.5
3 10.1
6 13
QUINELLA
3,6 30
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 20
2,6 52
3,6 14.5
FORECAST
3,6 48
TIERCE
3,6,2 157
TRIO
2,3,6 60
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 85
QUARTET
3,6,2,12 752
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3,11 92
3/6 104
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,12/2,3,6,11 478