Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 5 over 1200m. RAGNARR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won, with SPEEDY SMARTIE second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The 3.0 favourite SPEEDY SMARTIE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RAGNARR 1:09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 7.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | RUN RUN TIMING C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | JOYFUL TREASURE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 53.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER ELITE A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ISLAND GOLDEN C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 70.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | SONIC BOOM M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | COLONEL D Probert · J Richards | D Probert | J Richards | 5 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER CHARIZZARD B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 3 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | HE WAS ME M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | MACANESE MASTER P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 38.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 5 | SUNNY DARLING L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RUN RUN TIMING | 21.7% | 4.62 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | RAGNARR | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 15.0% | 6.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | HE WAS ME | 11.2% | 8.93 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | SONIC BOOM | 8.2% | 12.14 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | COLONEL | 5.8% | 17.26 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER ELITE | 5.6% | 17.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 5.4% | 18.38 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 4.9% | 20.27 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.3% | 44.37 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | MACANESE MASTER | 2.0% | 49.90 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 74
PLACE
1 22.5
2 13.5
4 18.5
QUINELLA
1,2 109.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 39
1,4 58.5
2,4 31.5
FORECAST
1,2 251
TIERCE
1,2,4 653
TRIO
1,2,4 94
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 719
QUARTET
1,2,4,3 13,913