Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 07:45
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 4 over 1800m. HAKKA RADIANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with FIREFOOT second and OCEAN IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly 1:49.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 11 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 7.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CELESTIAL PATCH A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 10 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART TRIO Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 103.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 45.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 3 | 14.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | FRANTANCK P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 26.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | OCEAN IMPACT | 11.9% | 8.43 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | MISSION STRIKE | 11.2% | 8.90 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 11.2% | 8.94 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 10.9% | 9.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 9.7% | 10.26 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 7.5% | 13.38 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.6% | 21.95 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 3.8% | 26.23 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | FRANTANCK | 3.8% | 26.65 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | PERFECT PAIRING | 2.5% | 39.78 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SMART TRIO | 1.4% | 71.50 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 39
PLACE
6 19
9 25
10 17.5
QUINELLA
9,10 192.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 82.5
6,10 43
9,10 60
FORECAST
10,9 216
TIERCE
10,9,6 793
TRIO
6,9,10 206
FIRST 4
5,6,9,10 697
QUARTET
10,9,6,5 10,239
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,10/6,9,10 15,804
5TH DOUBLE
4/9 61.5
4/10 220
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,11/4,5,10/6,9,10 153,053
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,11/4,5,10/Any Combination 998