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Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 07:45

Race 6

Class 4 1800m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 4 over 1800m. HAKKA RADIANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with FIREFOOT second and OCEAN IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:49.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly 1:49.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum 7 3.9
2 9 FIREFOOT Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So 8 8.3 2-1/4
3 6 OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly C L Chau · D J Whyte 2 5.3 2-1/4
4 5 MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall 11 29.0 2-1/4
5 7 MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham 4 7.4 3-1/4
6 11 CELESTIAL PATCH A Atzeni · D Eustace 1 4.5 3-1/2
7 4 KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early M L Yeung · A S Cruz 10 32.0 4
8 3 CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor 6 11.0 4
9 12 SMART TRIO Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang 12 103.0 6-1/4
10 8 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 5 45.0 7-1/2
11 2 FOREVER GLORIOUS K De Melo · B Crawford 3 14.0 10
12 1 FRANTANCK P N Wong · P C Ng 9 26.0 17-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAKKA RADIANCE2. FIREFOOT+2.25L3. OCEAN IMPACT+2.25L4. MANAGEMENT FOLKS+2.25L5. MISSION STRIKE+3.25L6. CELESTIAL PATCH+3.5L7. KINGLY DEMEANOR+4L8. CAN'T GO WONG+4L9. SMART TRIO+6.25L10. PERFECT PAIRING+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HAKKA RADIANCE (21.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 HAKKA RADIANCE 21.5% 4.65 1
2 6 OCEAN IMPACT 11.9% 8.43 3
3 7 MISSION STRIKE 11.2% 8.90 5
4 9 FIREFOOT 11.2% 8.94 2
5 11 CELESTIAL PATCH 10.9% 9.14 6
6 2 FOREVER GLORIOUS 9.7% 10.26 11
7 3 CAN'T GO WONG 7.5% 13.38 8
8 4 KINGLY DEMEANOR 4.6% 21.95 7
9 5 MANAGEMENT FOLKS 3.8% 26.23 4
10 1 FRANTANCK 3.8% 26.65 12
11 8 PERFECT PAIRING 2.5% 39.78 10
12 12 SMART TRIO 1.4% 71.50 9
HAKKA RADIANCE — wonOCEAN IMPACTMISSION STRIKEFIREFOOTCELESTIAL PATCHFOREVER GLORIOUSCAN'T GO WONGKINGLY DEMEANORMANAGEMENT FOLKSFRANTANCKPERFECT PAIRINGSMART TRIO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 39

PLACE

6 19

9 25

10 17.5

QUINELLA

9,10 192.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 82.5

6,10 43

9,10 60

FORECAST

10,9 216

TIERCE

10,9,6 793

TRIO

6,9,10 206

FIRST 4

5,6,9,10 697

QUARTET

10,9,6,5 10,239

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,10/6,9,10 15,804

5TH DOUBLE

4/9 61.5

4/10 220

TRIPLE TRIO

1,4,11/4,5,10/6,9,10 153,053

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,4,11/4,5,10/Any Combination 998