Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 05:20

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course C 11 runners

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 4 over 1200m. DAN ATTACK, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won, with QUICK CONTRIBUTION second and SONIC PURSUIT third. The 3.9 favourite ALL'S WELL finished 9th.

Result

Official · 1:09.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 DAN ATTACK 1:09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 8 5.9
2 9 QUICK CONTRIBUTION K Teetan · D J Hall 3 5.9 1/2
3 10 SONIC PURSUIT A Badel · J Richards 6 20.0 2-1/4
4 3 DENFIELD H Bowman · C S Shum 7 18.0 3-1/4
5 1 WITH A SMILE Z Purton · W Y So 5 4.2 3-1/2
6 4 MEOWTH C L Chau · W K Mo 12 14.0 3-3/4
7 8 AMAZING KID A Atzeni · J Size 1 20.0 4-1/4
8 7 SECOND TO NONE C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 53.0 6
9 2 ALL'S WELL M Chadwick · C H Yip 2 3.9 6-1/4
10 6 JUICY DRAGON P N Wong · K L Man 4 10.0 7-1/2
11 5 GOOD FORTUNE L Ferraris · P C Ng 9 19.0 19-1/4
11 SNOWTHORN R Kingscote · P F Yiu

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAN ATTACK2. QUICK CONTRIBUTION+0.5L3. SONIC PURSUIT+2.25L4. DENFIELD+3.25L5. WITH A SMILE+3.5L6. MEOWTH+3.75L7. AMAZING KID+4.25L8. SECOND TO NONE+6L9. ALL'S WELL+6.25L10. JUICY DRAGON+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WITH A SMILE (19.8%) finished 5th — the winner DAN ATTACK was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 WITH A SMILE 19.8% 5.04 5
2 9 QUICK CONTRIBUTION 19.7% 5.06 2
3 2 ALL'S WELL 16.6% 6.04 9
4 3 DENFIELD 8.6% 11.66 4
5 12 DAN ATTACK 7.2% 13.95 1
6 5 GOOD FORTUNE 7.0% 14.22 11
7 10 SONIC PURSUIT 5.8% 17.37 3
8 4 MEOWTH 4.7% 21.36 6
9 8 AMAZING KID 4.2% 23.59 7
10 6 JUICY DRAGON 3.5% 28.62 10
11 7 SECOND TO NONE 2.9% 34.53 8
WITH A SMILEQUICK CONTRIBUTIONALL'S WELLDENFIELDDAN ATTACK — wonGOOD FORTUNESONIC PURSUITMEOWTHAMAZING KIDJUICY DRAGONSECOND TO NONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 59

PLACE

9 21.5

10 51

12 17.5

QUINELLA

9,12 159.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 173

9,12 65.5

10,12 167

FORECAST

12,9 387

TIERCE

12,9,10 5,043

TRIO

9,10,12 1,241

FIRST 4

3,9,10,12 3,142

QUARTET

12,9,10,3 57,635

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/9 117

1/12 600

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1>2,4,5/9,10,12 16,295