Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 13:47
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly 1:39.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SAMARKAND Led early L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 6 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | THE AZURE Closed strongly C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SETANTA Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | MATSU VICTOR C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | STERLING WONGCHOY R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 5 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SIMPLE HEDGE Closed strongly M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 7 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BIG STRIDE A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 59.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | THESIS J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 4 over 1650m. FANTASTIC FUN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with SAMARKAND second and OUR LUCKY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite STERLING WONGCHOY finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 13.6% | 7.34 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | SETANTA | 12.3% | 8.12 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | THESIS | 11.7% | 8.57 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | SAMARKAND | 11.5% | 8.67 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | FANTASTIC FUN | 10.2% | 9.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | THE AZURE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR | 7.6% | 13.15 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 7.6% | 13.22 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | MATSU VICTOR | 5.4% | 18.62 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 4.8% | 20.63 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 4.0% | 25.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | BIG STRIDE | 2.4% | 41.17 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 119
PLACE
3 23.5
4 37.5
8 22.5
QUINELLA
3,4 344
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 110
3,8 81.5
4,8 161
FORECAST
4,3 696
TIERCE
4,3,8 3,358
TRIO
3,4,8 541
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 2,675
QUARTET
4,3,8,5 60,189
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
12/3 83.5
12/4 648.5