Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 08:15
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 3 over 1000m. HARMONY N BLESSED, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with ETERNAL FORTUNE second and QUARTZ LEGEND third. The 3.4 favourite LOOKING BRIGHT finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED 0:56.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | QUARTZ LEGEND D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 4 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | LUCKY XANDER K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 93.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | BLUE ILLUSION A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 5 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SIR CHARGE H T Mo · D Eustace | H T Mo | D Eustace | 9 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | PARENTS' LOVE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | SIX THREE WIN L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 78.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | TACTICAL COMMAND H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | VICTOR THE RAPID E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | LOOKING BRIGHT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 3.4 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 22.6% | 4.42 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | LOOKING BRIGHT | 17.0% | 5.87 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | PARENTS' LOVE | 13.5% | 7.42 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 12.1% | 8.28 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 10.7% | 9.34 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 4.9% | 20.39 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 4.5% | 22.03 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | BLUE ILLUSION | 4.0% | 25.12 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | QUARTZ LEGEND | 3.6% | 27.59 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | SIX THREE WIN | 3.1% | 32.17 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY XANDER | 2.3% | 44.20 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | SIR CHARGE | 1.7% | 59.39 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 64.5
PLACE
1 21
2 15.5
5 97.5
QUINELLA
1,2 108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 39
1,5 422.5
2,5 355
FORECAST
1,2 323
TIERCE
1,2,5 8,078
TRIO
1,2,5 1,748
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 11,392
QUARTET
1,2,5,8 150,308
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
10/1 200
10/2 43.5