Happy Valley · 2025-11-02 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-02 was Class 3 over 1200m. BRAVE STAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with AURORA PATCH second and SPORTS LEGEND third. The 3.9 favourite AURORA PATCH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BRAVE STAR 1:09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.8 | — |
| 2 | 11 | AURORA PATCH A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 6 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | SPORTS LEGEND Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 10 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 2 | 74.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ROMANTIC SON H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 3 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | GUMMY GUMMY E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | HAYDAY K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY PLANET P N Wong · W K Mo | P N Wong | W K Mo | 4 | 7.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | THE ALL OUT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | DANCING CLASSICS D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AURORA PATCH | 30.1% | 3.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | SPORTS LEGEND | 11.5% | 8.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY PLANET | 11.5% | 8.73 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | DANCING CLASSICS | 10.4% | 9.60 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | BRAVE STAR | 9.3% | 10.80 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | GUMMY GUMMY | 6.3% | 15.94 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | THE ALL OUT | 4.8% | 20.67 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 4.1% | 24.30 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | ROMANTIC SON | 3.6% | 27.88 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | HAYDAY | 3.6% | 28.09 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH | 3.3% | 30.38 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH | 1.6% | 63.10 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 58.5
PLACE
1 21
9 21.5
11 16
QUINELLA
1,11 127.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 70
1,11 51.5
9,11 53
FORECAST
1,11 276
TIERCE
1,11,9 1,940
TRIO
1,9,11 283
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 2,742
QUARTET
1,11,9,2 38,511
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/1,9,11 73,257
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 313
1/11 61