Happy Valley · 2025-11-05 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-05 was Class 5 over 2200m. SUPER HONG KONG, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won, with STORM RUNNER second and PERPETUAL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite STORM RUNNER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly 2:15.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 8.3 | — |
| 2 | 1 | STORM RUNNER Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 1.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 2 | 35.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Led early H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | LEATHER MASTER C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 8.8 | 9-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 13.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MR ALADDIN H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 5.2 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STORM RUNNER | 59.6% | 1.68 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 11.7% | 8.53 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | LEATHER MASTER | 8.0% | 12.52 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | MR ALADDIN | 7.0% | 14.32 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 6.4% | 15.52 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.6% | 17.88 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | PERPETUAL POWER | 1.7% | 59.66 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 83.5
PLACE
1 11.5
3 64
7 16
QUINELLA
1,7 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 116
1,7 25
3,7 227.5
FORECAST
7,1 159
TIERCE
7,1,3 2,427
TRIO
1,3,7 383
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 286
QUARTET
7,1,3,2 8,452