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Happy Valley · 2025-11-05 · 18:41

Race 1

Class 5 2200m Course C+3 7 runners

Result

Official · 2:15.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly 2:15.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 7 8.3 —
2 1 STORM RUNNER Z Purton · P C Ng 1 1.7 3-1/2
3 3 PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang 2 35.0 9-1/4
4 2 ROMANTIC FANTASY Led early H Bowman · J Richards 4 10.0 9-1/2
5 5 LEATHER MASTER C Y Ho · K L Man 3 8.8 9-1/2
6 4 WAH MAY WAI WAI Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 13.0 12-1/4
7 6 MR ALADDIN H Bentley · P C Ng 5 5.2 14-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-05 was Class 5 over 2200m. SUPER HONG KONG, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won, with STORM RUNNER second and PERPETUAL POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite STORM RUNNER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER HONG KONG—2. STORM RUNNER+3.5L3. PERPETUAL POWER+9.25L4. ROMANTIC FANTASY+9.5L5. LEATHER MASTER+9.5L6. WAH MAY WAI WAI+12.25L7. MR ALADDIN+14.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STORM RUNNER (59.6%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPER HONG KONG was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 STORM RUNNER 59.6% 1.68 2
2 2 ROMANTIC FANTASY 11.7% 8.53 4
3 5 LEATHER MASTER 8.0% 12.52 5
4 6 MR ALADDIN 7.0% 14.32 7
5 4 WAH MAY WAI WAI 6.4% 15.52 6
6 7 SUPER HONG KONG 5.6% 17.88 1
7 3 PERPETUAL POWER 1.7% 59.66 3
STORM RUNNERROMANTIC FANTASYLEATHER MASTERMR ALADDINWAH MAY WAI WAISUPER HONG KONG — wonPERPETUAL POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 83.5

PLACE

1 11.5

3 64

7 16

QUINELLA

1,7 57.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 116

1,7 25

3,7 227.5

FORECAST

7,1 159

TIERCE

7,1,3 2,427

TRIO

1,3,7 383

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 286

QUARTET

7,1,3,2 8,452