Happy Valley · 2025-11-05 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-05 was Class 3 over 1650m. URANUS STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won, with SILVERY BREEZE second and A AMERIC TE SPECSO third. The winner led throughout. The 3.7 favourite SILVERY BREEZE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | URANUS STAR Wire to wire 1:39.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 7.4 | — |
| 2 | 5 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 5 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | VICTORY SKY H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | STORMING DRAGON Closed strongly L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 9 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CAMBRIDGE L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | EMBRACES C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 1 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | NOBLE PURSUIT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LOVERO Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | TOP GUN K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VICTORY SKY | 22.4% | 4.47 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | URANUS STAR | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | EMBRACES | 9.3% | 10.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | STURDY RUBY | 9.3% | 10.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | SILVERY BREEZE | 8.7% | 11.47 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 5.5% | 18.07 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | STORMING DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.57 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | CAMBRIDGE | 4.7% | 21.24 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | IVY LEAGUE | 4.7% | 21.44 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | TOP GUN | 4.0% | 24.96 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | LOVERO | 3.2% | 30.90 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 3.2% | 31.48 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 74
PLACE
4 41.5
5 14
10 27.5
QUINELLA
5,10 223.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 120.5
4,10 220.5
5,10 85
FORECAST
10,5 406
TIERCE
10,5,4 5,581
TRIO
4,5,10 1,067
FIRST 4
4,5,6,10 2,143
QUARTET
10,5,4,6 47,879
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/1/5 119
1/1/10 1,223
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/4,5,10 148,435
8TH DOUBLE
1/5 39.5
1/10 504
SIX UP
4/10/3/1/1/10 1,135,579
4,11/2,10/2,3/1,6/1,3/5,10 8,637
4 [F C Lor] —
1 [Z Purton] —