Happy Valley · 2025-11-05 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-05 was Class 4 over 1200m. CHARMING BABE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P F Yiu, won, with BITS SUPERSTAR second and THUNDER PRINCE third. The 2.2 favourite THUNDER PRINCE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHARMING BABE 1:09.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.2 | — |
| 2 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 8.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | THUNDER PRINCE H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 2 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | FREE PONY M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 53.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | REWARDING BUDDY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | CLUB ACE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | FLASH STAR R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 11 | 57.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | INNO CENTURY H Doyle · W Y So | H Doyle | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GO GENERAL M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 129.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | THE ALL ROUNDER E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 10 | 78.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 7 | SIGHT HAPPY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHARMING BABE | 32.6% | 3.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | THUNDER PRINCE | 26.1% | 3.83 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 9.7% | 10.34 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | REWARDING BUDDY | 9.6% | 10.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | INNO CENTURY | 7.2% | 13.90 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN DARCI | 4.8% | 20.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 3.6% | 28.13 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | CLUB ACE | 2.3% | 44.20 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | FREE PONY | 1.6% | 62.20 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | FLASH STAR | 1.4% | 69.32 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | GO GENERAL | 1.1% | 88.93 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 32
PLACE
1 13.5
2 11.5
6 23.5
QUINELLA
1,6 130
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 17.5
1,6 41
2,6 33.5
FORECAST
1,6 247
TIERCE
1,6,2 508
TRIO
1,2,6 79
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 424
QUARTET
1,6,2,3 9,357
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,10/6>1,2,7 26,601
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 544
3/6 188.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,3,10/6>1,2,7 665,178
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,10/2,3,10/Any Combination 13,303