Happy Valley · 2025-11-05 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-05 was Class 3 over 1200m. REGAL GEM, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won, with SPICY GOLD second and PRESTIGE ALWAYS third. The 2.7 favourite BIENVENUE finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | REGAL GEM 1:09.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SPICY GOLD A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WONDERSTAR P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CHEAHA Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 53.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | FORZA TORO E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 4.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | DEVAS TWELVE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | NEVER TOO SOON A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 7 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | YOUNG ARROW H Doyle · D J Whyte | H Doyle | D J Whyte | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BIENVENUE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER LEGENDS R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 10 | 85.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | COPARTNER FLEET K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 28.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BIENVENUE | 37.2% | 2.69 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | REGAL GEM | 12.5% | 8.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | WONDERSTAR | 7.2% | 13.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | FORZA TORO | 7.1% | 14.05 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.5% | 15.29 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | DEVAS TWELVE | 5.9% | 17.07 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | SPICY GOLD | 5.2% | 19.13 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | YOUNG ARROW | 5.0% | 20.18 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 4.3% | 23.04 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | COPARTNER FLEET | 4.1% | 24.18 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | CHEAHA | 2.9% | 34.80 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER LEGENDS | 2.1% | 48.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 48.5
PLACE
1 16
3 28
6 44.5
QUINELLA
1,3 230.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 68
1,6 136
3,6 229.5
FORECAST
1,3 388
TIERCE
1,3,6 4,326
TRIO
1,3,6 1,017
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 1,931
QUARTET
1,3,6,2 30,174
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 151
1/3 57