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Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 19:11

Race 2

Class 5 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:40.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Closed strongly 1:40.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C H Yip 2 27.0 —
2 4 TSUEN WAN GLORY H Doyle · K L Man 10 22.0 N
3 1 STAR BROSE Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes 4 4.0 1/2
4 6 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 5 10.0 2-1/2
5 12 HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu 12 11.0 2-1/2
6 3 THUNDER BLINK C L Chau · K H Ting 11 10.0 3
7 9 VERBIER Led early D Probert · C Fownes 1 17.0 3-1/2
8 8 DRACO Closed strongly Z Purton · B Crawford 7 2.4 3-3/4
9 2 WISEMAN H Bentley · C S Shum 3 31.0 4
10 11 ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 8 76.0 4-1/2
11 7 PANDA LEGEND R Kingscote · W Y So 6 13.0 5
12 10 BINGO BABE J Orman · Y S Tsui 9 89.0 5-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 5 over 1650m. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C H Yip, won, with TSUEN WAN GLORY second and STAR BROSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite DRACO finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY—2. TSUEN WAN GLORY+0.05L3. STAR BROSE+0.5L4. WINDICATOR FAMILY+2.5L5. HARRY'S HERO+2.5L6. THUNDER BLINK+3L7. VERBIER+3.5L8. DRACO+3.75L9. WISEMAN+4L10. ALL EYES ON ME+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DRACO (26.0%) finished 8th — the winner YIU CHEUNG VICTORY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 DRACO 26.0% 3.84 8
2 1 STAR BROSE 25.4% 3.94 3
3 4 TSUEN WAN GLORY 8.0% 12.44 2
4 3 THUNDER BLINK 7.1% 14.17 6
5 7 PANDA LEGEND 6.0% 16.65 11
6 12 HARRY'S HERO 5.5% 18.24 5
7 6 WINDICATOR FAMILY 5.1% 19.49 4
8 5 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 4.9% 20.47 1
9 9 VERBIER 4.8% 21.03 7
10 2 WISEMAN 3.6% 28.16 9
11 11 ALL EYES ON ME 2.2% 46.39 10
12 10 BINGO BABE 1.5% 67.43 12
DRACOSTAR BROSETSUEN WAN GLORYTHUNDER BLINKPANDA LEGENDHARRY'S HEROWINDICATOR FAMILYYIU CHEUNG VICTORY — wonVERBIERWISEMANALL EYES ON MEBINGO BABE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 274

PLACE

1 15.5

4 63.5

5 60

QUINELLA

4,5 3,031.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 187.5

1,5 166.5

4,5 693

FORECAST

5,4 3,063

TIERCE

5,4,1 28,134

TRIO

1,4,5 3,676

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 4,845

QUARTET

5,4,1,6 189,525

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/4 637.5

5/5 3,715.5