Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 5 over 1650m. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C H Yip, won, with TSUEN WAN GLORY second and STAR BROSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite DRACO finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Closed strongly 1:40.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 2 | 27.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 10 | 22.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | STAR BROSE Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | THUNDER BLINK C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | VERBIER Led early D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | DRACO Closed strongly Z Purton · B Crawford | Z Purton | B Crawford | 7 | 2.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | WISEMAN H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 76.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | PANDA LEGEND R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | BINGO BABE J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 89.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRACO | 26.0% | 3.84 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | STAR BROSE | 25.4% | 3.94 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 8.0% | 12.44 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | THUNDER BLINK | 7.1% | 14.17 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | PANDA LEGEND | 6.0% | 16.65 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | HARRY'S HERO | 5.5% | 18.24 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 5.1% | 19.49 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 4.9% | 20.47 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | VERBIER | 4.8% | 21.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | WISEMAN | 3.6% | 28.16 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | ALL EYES ON ME | 2.2% | 46.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | BINGO BABE | 1.5% | 67.43 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 274
PLACE
1 15.5
4 63.5
5 60
QUINELLA
4,5 3,031.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 187.5
1,5 166.5
4,5 693
FORECAST
5,4 3,063
TIERCE
5,4,1 28,134
TRIO
1,4,5 3,676
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 4,845
QUARTET
5,4,1,6 189,525
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/4 637.5
5/5 3,715.5