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Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 4 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 4 over 1200m. MEOWTH, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won, with ROBOT LUCKY STAR second and DAN ATTACK third. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:10.16
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 MEOWTH 1:10.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo 1 4.1
2 1 ROBOT LUCKY STAR Z Purton · K L Man 12 4.4 N
3 9 DAN ATTACK H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 4.9 N
4 10 AWESOME TREASURE L Hewitson · D A Hayes 9 30.0 1/2
5 3 RUN RUN SMART H Doyle · F C Lor 10 18.0 1-3/4
6 7 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT J McDonald · C S Shum 2 5.8 2-1/4
7 2 MEGA BONUS E C W Wong · P F Yiu 3 17.0 2-1/2
8 8 ICONICAL A Atzeni · J Richards 8 38.0 2-3/4
9 6 RISING PHOENIX J Orman · D J Hall 11 12.0 3
10 11 GAMEPLAYER ELITE K Teetan · C H Yip 4 13.0 3-1/4
11 12 BLAZING BEAM M Chadwick · K H Ting 6 69.0 4
12 4 LUCK SMILES M L Yeung · W Y So 5 39.0 5-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEOWTH2. ROBOT LUCKY STAR+0.05L3. DAN ATTACK+0.05L4. AWESOME TREASURE+0.5L5. RUN RUN SMART+1.75L6. YEE CHEONG SPIRIT+2.25L7. MEGA BONUS+2.5L8. ICONICAL+2.75L9. RISING PHOENIX+3L10. GAMEPLAYER ELITE+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick YEE CHEONG SPIRIT (29.1%) finished 6th — the winner MEOWTH was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT 29.1% 3.43 6
2 1 ROBOT LUCKY STAR 15.2% 6.59 2
3 5 MEOWTH 14.8% 6.76 1
4 9 DAN ATTACK 7.3% 13.67 3
5 3 RUN RUN SMART 7.2% 13.86 5
6 11 GAMEPLAYER ELITE 6.4% 15.51 10
7 2 MEGA BONUS 4.2% 23.54 7
8 6 RISING PHOENIX 4.2% 23.84 9
9 8 ICONICAL 3.7% 26.68 8
10 4 LUCK SMILES 3.7% 27.11 12
11 12 BLAZING BEAM 2.0% 48.85 11
12 10 AWESOME TREASURE 2.0% 50.02 4
YEE CHEONG SPIRITROBOT LUCKY STARMEOWTH — wonDAN ATTACKRUN RUN SMARTGAMEPLAYER ELITEMEGA BONUSRISING PHOENIXICONICALLUCK SMILESBLAZING BEAMAWESOME TREASURE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 41

PLACE

1 18

5 15

9 19.5

QUINELLA

1,5 84.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 40

1,9 47

5,9 41.5

FORECAST

5,1 209

TIERCE

5,1,9 1,057

TRIO

1,5,9 206

FIRST 4

1,5,9,10 1,001

QUARTET

5,1,9,10 14,057

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

9/1 79

9/5 405.5